Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30-40% implied probabilities for top contenders in the FIFA World Cup most goal contributions market, reflecting balanced qualifier hauls, club form, and group stage paths in the expanded 48-team format. Kaoru Mitoma edges ahead at 40.8% on Japan's strong AFC qualifying campaign—where he notched 3 assists—and creative wing play, though his recent hamstring injury raises fitness doubts just weeks from kickoff. Lamine Yamal trails closely at 34.5% after a breakout La Liga season with 24 goals and 17 assists, bolstered by Spain's favorable draw despite hamstring recovery. Mohamed Salah's 11 goal contributions (8 goals, 3 assists) in CAF qualifiers sustain his 33.4% standing for Egypt, while Son Heung-min (32.5%) and Sadio Mané (32.0%) benefit from South Korea and Senegal's group advantages and recent international momentum, underscoring the wide-open race amid injury uncertainties and deeper knockout potential.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFIFA World Cup: Most Goal Contributions
FIFA World Cup: Most Goal Contributions
Ermedin Demirović 35.4%
Kylian Mbappé 34%
Raphinha 33%
Santiago Giménez 26.9%
Ermedin Demirović
35%
Kylian Mbappé
23%
Raphinha
18%
Santiago Giménez
27%
Romelu Lukaku
25%
Jamal Musiala
22%
Viktor Gyökeres
22%
Andrej Kramarić
22%
Kaoru Mitoma
22%
Son Heung-min
22%
Ismael Díaz
22%
Mohammed Kudus
22%
Cody Gakpo
21%
Youssef En-Nesyri
20%
Lamine Yamal
35%
Aymen Hussein
17%
Erling Haaland
25%
Harry Kane
9%
Scott McTominay
5%
Granit Xhaka
5%
Rafael Leão
23%
Lautaro Martínez
24%
Frantzdy Pierrot
22%
Musa Al-Taamari
21%
Ondřej Duda
22%
Chris Wood
23%
Mohamed Salah
15%
Mehdi Taremi
5%
Arda Güler
16%
Martin Boyle
23%
Jonathan David
21%
Julio Tavares
21%
Enner Valencia
22%
Salem Al-Dawsari
32%
Christian Pulisic
34%
Christoph Baumgartner
31%
Cédric Bakambu
36%
Federico Valverde
26%
Riyad Mahrez
40%
Luis Díaz
34%
Akram Afif
40%
Lyle Foster
35%
Eldor Shomurodov
35%
Leandro Bacuna
34%
Sébastien Haller
40%
Julio Enciso
30%
Sadio Mané
28%
Hannibal Mejbri
35%
Ermedin Demirović 35.4%
Kylian Mbappé 34%
Raphinha 33%
Santiago Giménez 26.9%
Ermedin Demirović
35%
Kylian Mbappé
23%
Raphinha
18%
Santiago Giménez
27%
Romelu Lukaku
25%
Jamal Musiala
22%
Viktor Gyökeres
22%
Andrej Kramarić
22%
Kaoru Mitoma
22%
Son Heung-min
22%
Ismael Díaz
22%
Mohammed Kudus
22%
Cody Gakpo
21%
Youssef En-Nesyri
20%
Lamine Yamal
35%
Aymen Hussein
17%
Erling Haaland
25%
Harry Kane
9%
Scott McTominay
5%
Granit Xhaka
5%
Rafael Leão
23%
Lautaro Martínez
24%
Frantzdy Pierrot
22%
Musa Al-Taamari
21%
Ondřej Duda
22%
Chris Wood
23%
Mohamed Salah
15%
Mehdi Taremi
5%
Arda Güler
16%
Martin Boyle
23%
Jonathan David
21%
Julio Tavares
21%
Enner Valencia
22%
Salem Al-Dawsari
32%
Christian Pulisic
34%
Christoph Baumgartner
31%
Cédric Bakambu
36%
Federico Valverde
26%
Riyad Mahrez
40%
Luis Díaz
34%
Akram Afif
40%
Lyle Foster
35%
Eldor Shomurodov
35%
Leandro Bacuna
34%
Sébastien Haller
40%
Julio Enciso
30%
Sadio Mané
28%
Hannibal Mejbri
35%
For the purpose of this market, a goal contribution is defined exclusively as the number of combined goals and assists a player has recorded.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored more goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purpose of this market, a goal contribution is defined exclusively as the number of combined goals and assists a player has recorded.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored more goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30-40% implied probabilities for top contenders in the FIFA World Cup most goal contributions market, reflecting balanced qualifier hauls, club form, and group stage paths in the expanded 48-team format. Kaoru Mitoma edges ahead at 40.8% on Japan's strong AFC qualifying campaign—where he notched 3 assists—and creative wing play, though his recent hamstring injury raises fitness doubts just weeks from kickoff. Lamine Yamal trails closely at 34.5% after a breakout La Liga season with 24 goals and 17 assists, bolstered by Spain's favorable draw despite hamstring recovery. Mohamed Salah's 11 goal contributions (8 goals, 3 assists) in CAF qualifiers sustain his 33.4% standing for Egypt, while Son Heung-min (32.5%) and Sadio Mané (32.0%) benefit from South Korea and Senegal's group advantages and recent international momentum, underscoring the wide-open race amid injury uncertainties and deeper knockout potential.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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