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Sports·FIFA World Cup

FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

icon for FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
Sports·FIFA World Cup

FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

$10,927 Vol.

Jun 28, 2026
Polymarket

$10,927 Vol.

Polymarket

France

$201 Vol.

92%

Spain

$1 Vol.

96%

Germany

$400 Vol.

95%

Portugal

$0 Vol.

94%

Belgium

$227 Vol.

93%

Argentina

$817 Vol.

93%

England

$1 Vol.

93%

Brazil

$0 Vol.

92%

Switzerland

$643 Vol.

92%

Netherlands

$1,223 Vol.

89%

Colombia

$200 Vol.

87%

Morocco

$696 Vol.

85%

Uruguay

$130 Vol.

85%

Mexico

$652 Vol.

84%

Ecuador

$21 Vol.

82%

Austria

$136 Vol.

82%

Canada

$72 Vol.

82%

USA

$567 Vol.

81%

Norway

$0 Vol.

81%

Japan

$855 Vol.

79%

Turkiye

$230 Vol.

74%

Croatia

$80 Vol.

74%

Paraguay

$202 Vol.

63%

Scotland

$73 Vol.

72%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$240 Vol.

69%

Czechia

$164 Vol.

69%

Algeria

$212 Vol.

69%

Egypt

$180 Vol.

65%

Ivory Coast

$32 Vol.

65%

South Korea

$0 Vol.

64%

Sweden

$400 Vol.

62%

Senegal

$126 Vol.

60%

Iran

$10 Vol.

60%

Australia

$47 Vol.

43%

Ghana

$544 Vol.

48%

Saudi Arabia

$122 Vol.

48%

DR Congo

$116 Vol.

47%

Tunisia

$175 Vol.

44%

South Africa

$0 Vol.

39%

Uzbekistan

$561 Vol.

40%

Cape Verde

$159 Vol.

31%

New Zealand

$200 Vol.

31%

Panama

$0 Vol.

30%

Qatar

$0 Vol.

25%

Jordan

$2 Vol.

21%

Haiti

$0 Vol.

12%

Iraq

$161 Vol.

11%

Curacao

$50 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In the expanded 48-team FIFA World Cup 2026 hosted by USA, Canada, and Mexico starting June 11, trader consensus for group stage advancement markets—where top two teams per 12 groups plus eight best third-placers reach the Round of 32 knockout—reflects FIFA rankings, dominant qualifier performances through March 2026, and head-to-head histories. Hosts benefit from home/away splits across North American venues, while powerhouses leverage recent friendly form and squad depth. With final rosters due late May, monitor injury reports on key attackers and midfielders, warm-up match results, and coaching tactics as primary movers; no major developments in the past 48 hours, but upset potential lingers for underdogs via goal difference tiebreakers.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,927
End Date
Jun 28, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In the expanded 48-team FIFA World Cup 2026 hosted by USA, Canada, and Mexico starting June 11, trader consensus for group stage advancement markets—where top two teams per 12 groups plus eight best third-placers reach the Round of 32 knockout—reflects FIFA rankings, dominant qualifier performances through March 2026, and head-to-head histories. Hosts benefit from home/away splits across North American venues, while powerhouses leverage recent friendly form and squad depth. With final rosters due late May, monitor injury reports on key attackers and midfielders, warm-up match results, and coaching tactics as primary movers; no major developments in the past 48 hours, but upset potential lingers for underdogs via goal difference tiebreakers.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,927
End Date
Jun 28, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Spain" at 96%, followed by "Germany" at 95%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages" has generated $10.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages" is "Spain" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Germany" at 95%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.