**Trader sentiment in this Argentina official USD/ARS exchange rate market at end-2026 is shaped by the Milei administration’s managed crawling band regime and ongoing disinflation efforts.** As of mid-September 2026 the wholesale rate sits near 1,514 ARS per USD after modest year-to-date depreciation of roughly 4–5 percent. Government 2027 budget projections and the latest REM survey point to an end-2026 level around 1,600–1,630, while some private forecasts reach 1,760. The heavy weighting toward the sub-1,700 brackets (78.5 percent combined on <1,600 and 1,600–1,699) reflects the market’s assessment that the BCRA will maintain a relatively strong peso through reserve purchases, fiscal surpluses, and inflation-linked band adjustments to support the 25–30 percent annual inflation target. Recent data showing monthly inflation near 1.7–2.1 percent and limited spot intervention have reinforced expectations of contained depreciation over the final three months of the year. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI releases and any BCRA communications on band parameters or reserve targets, which could shift implied probabilities if growth or external pressures intensify.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$22,053 Vol.
$22,053 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1600.00
48%
1600.00–1699.99
33%
1700.00–1799.99
8%
1800.00–1899.99
3%
1900.00–1999.99
17%
2000.00+
5%
$22,053 Vol.
$22,053 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1600.00
$2,546 Vol.
48%
1600.00–1699.99
$2,035 Vol.
33%
1700.00–1799.99
$2,203 Vol.
8%
1800.00–1899.99
$1,709 Vol.
3%
1900.00–1999.99
$11,772 Vol.
17%
2000.00+
$1,788 Vol.
5%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trader sentiment in this Argentina official USD/ARS exchange rate market at end-2026 is shaped by the Milei administration’s managed crawling band regime and ongoing disinflation efforts.** As of mid-September 2026 the wholesale rate sits near 1,514 ARS per USD after modest year-to-date depreciation of roughly 4–5 percent. Government 2027 budget projections and the latest REM survey point to an end-2026 level around 1,600–1,630, while some private forecasts reach 1,760.
The heavy weighting toward the sub-1,700 brackets (78.5 percent combined on <1,600 and 1,600–1,699) reflects the market’s assessment that the BCRA will maintain a relatively strong peso through reserve purchases, fiscal surpluses, and inflation-linked band adjustments to support the 25–30 percent annual inflation target. Recent data showing monthly inflation near 1.7–2.1 percent and limited spot intervention have reinforced expectations of contained depreciation over the final three months of the year.
Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI releases and any BCRA communications on band parameters or reserve targets, which could shift implied probabilities if growth or external pressures intensify.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$22,053End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trader sentiment in this Argentina official USD/ARS exchange rate market at end-2026 is shaped by the Milei administration’s managed crawling band regime and ongoing disinflation efforts.** As of mid-September 2026 the wholesale rate sits near 1,514 ARS per USD after modest year-to-date depreciation of roughly 4–5 percent. Government 2027 budget projections and the latest REM survey point to an end-2026 level around 1,600–1,630, while some private forecasts reach 1,760.
The heavy weighting toward the sub-1,700 brackets (78.5 percent combined on <1,600 and 1,600–1,699) reflects the market’s assessment that the BCRA will maintain a relatively strong peso through reserve purchases, fiscal surpluses, and inflation-linked band adjustments to support the 25–30 percent annual inflation target. Recent data showing monthly inflation near 1.7–2.1 percent and limited spot intervention have reinforced expectations of contained depreciation over the final three months of the year.
Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI releases and any BCRA communications on band parameters or reserve targets, which could shift implied probabilities if growth or external pressures intensify.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$22,053End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader sentiment in this Argentina official USD/ARS exchange rate market at end-2026 is shaped by the Milei administration’s managed crawling band regime and ongoing disinflation efforts.** As of mid-September 2026 the wholesale rate sits near 1,514 ARS per USD after modest year-to-date depreciation of roughly 4–5 percent. Government 2027 budget projections and the latest REM survey point to an end-2026 level around 1,600–1,630, while some private forecasts reach 1,760. The heavy weighting toward the sub-1,700 brackets (78.5 percent combined on <1,600 and 1,600–1,699) reflects the market’s assessment that the BCRA will maintain a relatively strong peso through reserve purchases, fiscal surpluses, and inflation-linked band adjustments to support the 25–30 percent annual inflation target. Recent data showing monthly inflation near 1.7–2.1 percent and limited spot intervention have reinforced expectations of contained depreciation over the final three months of the year. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI releases and any BCRA communications on band parameters or reserve targets, which could shift implied probabilities if growth or external pressures intensify.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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