The stalled Donald J. Trump $250 Bill Act, introduced in February 2025 and referred to the House Financial Services Committee without further action or sufficient cosponsors, remains the primary barrier. Federal law since 1866 prohibits living persons on U.S. currency, requiring congressional amendment that has not advanced amid competing priorities. Treasury preparations for mock-ups and planning occurred earlier, yet officials consistently noted that enactment depends on lawmakers, and the semiquincentennial window closed in July 2026 without resolution. This legislative inertia underpins the 97% trader consensus on “No.” Late-session passage or an unexpected procedural maneuver before year-end could theoretically shift the outcome, though both appear remote given the bill’s status and calendar constraints.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3% chance
$30,531 Vol.
$30,531 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
3% chance
$30,531 Vol.
$30,531 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The stalled Donald J. Trump $250 Bill Act, introduced in February 2025 and referred to the House Financial Services Committee without further action or sufficient cosponsors, remains the primary barrier. Federal law since 1866 prohibits living persons on U.S. currency, requiring congressional amendment that has not advanced amid competing priorities. Treasury preparations for mock-ups and planning occurred earlier, yet officials consistently noted that enactment depends on lawmakers, and the semiquincentennial window closed in July 2026 without resolution. This legislative inertia underpins the 97% trader consensus on “No.” Late-session passage or an unexpected procedural maneuver before year-end could theoretically shift the outcome, though both appear remote given the bill’s status and calendar constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Volume
$30,531End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The stalled Donald J. Trump $250 Bill Act, introduced in February 2025 and referred to the House Financial Services Committee without further action or sufficient cosponsors, remains the primary barrier. Federal law since 1866 prohibits living persons on U.S. currency, requiring congressional amendment that has not advanced amid competing priorities. Treasury preparations for mock-ups and planning occurred earlier, yet officials consistently noted that enactment depends on lawmakers, and the semiquincentennial window closed in July 2026 without resolution. This legislative inertia underpins the 97% trader consensus on “No.” Late-session passage or an unexpected procedural maneuver before year-end could theoretically shift the outcome, though both appear remote given the bill’s status and calendar constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$30,531End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The stalled Donald J. Trump $250 Bill Act, introduced in February 2025 and referred to the House Financial Services Committee without further action or sufficient cosponsors, remains the primary barrier. Federal law since 1866 prohibits living persons on U.S. currency, requiring congressional amendment that has not advanced amid competing priorities. Treasury preparations for mock-ups and planning occurred earlier, yet officials consistently noted that enactment depends on lawmakers, and the semiquincentennial window closed in July 2026 without resolution. This legislative inertia underpins the 97% trader consensus on “No.” Late-session passage or an unexpected procedural maneuver before year-end could theoretically shift the outcome, though both appear remote given the bill’s status and calendar constraints.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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