**Current trader consensus assigns only an 8.5% chance that President Trump appears on a $250 bill in 2026, reflecting the significant legislative and procedural barriers that remain.** Federal law has long prohibited portraits of living individuals on U.S. currency, and creating a new $250 denomination would require explicit congressional authorization. The Donald J. Trump $250 Bill Act (H.R. 1761), introduced in February 2025, seeks to carve out an exception tied to the semiquincentennial and direct the Treasury to print such notes featuring the president’s portrait. While Trump administration officials, including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, have advanced mockups and preparatory work at the Bureau of Engraving and Printing in recent months, the measure has not advanced beyond committee referral as of mid-June 2026. With the July 4 anniversary deadline approaching, the absence of enacted legislation, combined with the time needed for design finalization and production, underpins the market’s strong “No” pricing. Any resolution this year would hinge on rapid congressional action that has not yet materialized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$13,612 Vol.
$13,612 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$13,612 Vol.
$13,612 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Current trader consensus assigns only an 8.5% chance that President Trump appears on a $250 bill in 2026, reflecting the significant legislative and procedural barriers that remain.**
Federal law has long prohibited portraits of living individuals on U.S. currency, and creating a new $250 denomination would require explicit congressional authorization. The Donald J. Trump $250 Bill Act (H.R. 1761), introduced in February 2025, seeks to carve out an exception tied to the semiquincentennial and direct the Treasury to print such notes featuring the president’s portrait. While Trump administration officials, including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, have advanced mockups and preparatory work at the Bureau of Engraving and Printing in recent months, the measure has not advanced beyond committee referral as of mid-June 2026.
With the July 4 anniversary deadline approaching, the absence of enacted legislation, combined with the time needed for design finalization and production, underpins the market’s strong “No” pricing. Any resolution this year would hinge on rapid congressional action that has not yet materialized.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Volume
$13,612End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Current trader consensus assigns only an 8.5% chance that President Trump appears on a $250 bill in 2026, reflecting the significant legislative and procedural barriers that remain.**
Federal law has long prohibited portraits of living individuals on U.S. currency, and creating a new $250 denomination would require explicit congressional authorization. The Donald J. Trump $250 Bill Act (H.R. 1761), introduced in February 2025, seeks to carve out an exception tied to the semiquincentennial and direct the Treasury to print such notes featuring the president’s portrait. While Trump administration officials, including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, have advanced mockups and preparatory work at the Bureau of Engraving and Printing in recent months, the measure has not advanced beyond committee referral as of mid-June 2026.
With the July 4 anniversary deadline approaching, the absence of enacted legislation, combined with the time needed for design finalization and production, underpins the market’s strong “No” pricing. Any resolution this year would hinge on rapid congressional action that has not yet materialized.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,862End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Current trader consensus assigns only an 8.5% chance that President Trump appears on a $250 bill in 2026, reflecting the significant legislative and procedural barriers that remain.** Federal law has long prohibited portraits of living individuals on U.S. currency, and creating a new $250 denomination would require explicit congressional authorization. The Donald J. Trump $250 Bill Act (H.R. 1761), introduced in February 2025, seeks to carve out an exception tied to the semiquincentennial and direct the Treasury to print such notes featuring the president’s portrait. While Trump administration officials, including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, have advanced mockups and preparatory work at the Bureau of Engraving and Printing in recent months, the measure has not advanced beyond committee referral as of mid-June 2026. With the July 4 anniversary deadline approaching, the absence of enacted legislation, combined with the time needed for design finalization and production, underpins the market’s strong “No” pricing. Any resolution this year would hinge on rapid congressional action that has not yet materialized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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