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icon for Eurovision Winner 2026

Eurovision Winner 2026

icon for Eurovision Winner 2026

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 43.9%

Greece 14.0%

Denmark 12.5%

Australia 5.6%

Polymarket

$157,799,535 Vol.

Finland 43.9%

Greece 14.0%

Denmark 12.5%

Australia 5.6%

Polymarket

$157,799,535 Vol.

icon for Finland

Finland

$4,643,915 Vol.

44%

icon for Greece

Greece

$3,899,579 Vol.

14%

icon for Denmark

Denmark

$2,428,026 Vol.

13%

icon for Australia

Australia

$2,585,805 Vol.

6%

icon for Israel

Israel

$2,982,272 Vol.

6%

icon for France

France

$3,195,180 Vol.

5%

icon for Romania

Romania

$2,711,110 Vol.

4%

icon for Italy

Italy

$3,734,192 Vol.

2%

icon for Moldova

Moldova

$4,173,893 Vol.

1%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$2,805,817 Vol.

1%

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$4,503,656 Vol.

1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$2,980,571 Vol.

1%

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$2,147,322 Vol.

1%

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$2,294,343 Vol.

1%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$3,040,118 Vol.

1%

icon for Cyprus

Cyprus

$2,745,216 Vol.

1%

icon for Albania

Albania

$6,753,311 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norway

Norway

$4,470,414 Vol.

<1%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$5,580,065 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luxembourg

Luxembourg

$3,754,986 Vol.

<1%

icon for Poland

Poland

$6,437,830 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$7,249,798 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germany

Germany

$3,372,341 Vol.

<1%

icon for Latvia

Latvia

$5,799,045 Vol.

<1%

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$6,513,194 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lithuania

Lithuania

$5,259,309 Vol.

<1%

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$5,741,510 Vol.

<1%

icon for United Kingdom

United Kingdom

$3,585,025 Vol.

<1%

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$5,058,172 Vol.

<1%

icon for Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

$6,700,567 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top Polymarket trader consensus at 43.9% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by their UMK national selection victory with the high-energy "Liekinheitin"—a violin-driven powerhouse that dominated OGAE fan polls and rehearsal previews, securing strong Semi-final 1 qualification yesterday. Greece's Akylas follows at 14% on infectious "Ferto" televote buzz but lags with jury concerns over vocal stability, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard climbed to 12.7% after a standout 30-second rehearsal clip edged out Greece, positioning it as a dark horse compromise. With Semi-final 2 looming tomorrow and the Vienna grand final Saturday, jury-public vote splits and staging polish remain pivotal swing factors in this liquid market.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$157,799,535
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top Polymarket trader consensus at 43.9% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by their UMK national selection victory with the high-energy "Liekinheitin"—a violin-driven powerhouse that dominated OGAE fan polls and rehearsal previews, securing strong Semi-final 1 qualification yesterday. Greece's Akylas follows at 14% on infectious "Ferto" televote buzz but lags with jury concerns over vocal stability, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard climbed to 12.7% after a standout 30-second rehearsal clip edged out Greece, positioning it as a dark horse compromise. With Semi-final 2 looming tomorrow and the Vienna grand final Saturday, jury-public vote splits and staging polish remain pivotal swing factors in this liquid market.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$157,799,535
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 44%, followed by "Greece" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $157.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Greece" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.