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Sports·Formula 1

Canadian Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner

icon for Canadian Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner
Sports·Formula 1

Canadian Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner

George Russell 31.8%

Kimi Antonelli 29.4%

Lando Norris 21%

Oscar Piastri 14%

Polymarket

$16,520 Vol.

George Russell 31.8%

Kimi Antonelli 29.4%

Lando Norris 21%

Oscar Piastri 14%

Polymarket

$16,520 Vol.

George Russell

$726 Vol.

32%

Kimi Antonelli

$642 Vol.

29%

Lando Norris

$838 Vol.

21%

Oscar Piastri

$464 Vol.

14%

Charles Leclerc

$804 Vol.

12%

Lewis Hamilton

$452 Vol.

10%

Max Verstappen

$1,442 Vol.

8%

Esteban Ocon

$590 Vol.

1%

Nico Hulkenberg

$584 Vol.

1%

Isack Hadjar

$600 Vol.

1%

Liam Lawson

$594 Vol.

1%

Arvid Lindblad

$585 Vol.

1%

Oliver Bearman

$635 Vol.

1%

Lance Stroll

$1,124 Vol.

1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$1,601 Vol.

1%

Pierre Gasly

$583 Vol.

1%

Alexander Albon

$504 Vol.

1%

Franco Colapinto

$1,477 Vol.

1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$556 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Perez

$519 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$510 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Alonso

$690 Vol.

<1%

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 22, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 29, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Mercedes' early-season dominance and strong one-lap pace on the high-downforce Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve setup keep George Russell and Kimi Antonelli as the frontrunners for sprint qualifying pole, with Russell drawing on his 2025 victory and consistent execution while Antonelli brings momentum from three straight grand prix wins and the championship lead. McLaren's recent upgrades have narrowed the gap for Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, creating a tight top group where small differences in setup, tire management, and track evolution during the single practice session can shift probabilities sharply among the leading contenders. This close bunched market reflects genuine uncertainty on a street-circuit layout with limited running time before sprint qualifying.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 22, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 29, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$16,520
End Date
May 29, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 7:32 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 22, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 29, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 22, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 29, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Mercedes' early-season dominance and strong one-lap pace on the high-downforce Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve setup keep George Russell and Kimi Antonelli as the frontrunners for sprint qualifying pole, with Russell drawing on his 2025 victory and consistent execution while Antonelli brings momentum from three straight grand prix wins and the championship lead. McLaren's recent upgrades have narrowed the gap for Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, creating a tight top group where small differences in setup, tire management, and track evolution during the single practice session can shift probabilities sharply among the leading contenders. This close bunched market reflects genuine uncertainty on a street-circuit layout with limited running time before sprint qualifying.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 22, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 29, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$16,520
End Date
May 29, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 7:32 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 22, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 29, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Canadian Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "George Russell" at 32%, followed by "Kimi Antonelli" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Canadian Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner" has generated $16.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Canadian Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Canadian Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner" is "George Russell" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Canadian Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.