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Sports·Formula 1

Canadian Grand Prix: Driver Winner

icon for Canadian Grand Prix: Driver Winner
Sports·Formula 1

Canadian Grand Prix: Driver Winner

Kimi Antonelli 32%

George Russell 29%

Lando Norris 16%

Max Verstappen 12%

Polymarket

$64,509 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli 32%

George Russell 29%

Lando Norris 16%

Max Verstappen 12%

Polymarket

$64,509 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli

$5,296 Vol.

32%

George Russell

$4,422 Vol.

29%

Lando Norris

$6,079 Vol.

16%

Max Verstappen

$7,437 Vol.

12%

Oscar Piastri

$6,667 Vol.

8%

Charles Leclerc

$7,967 Vol.

7%

Lewis Hamilton

$4,493 Vol.

3%

Isack Hadjar

$3,147 Vol.

1%

Fernando Alonso

$1,353 Vol.

<1%

Pierre Gasly

$1,625 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Albon

$1,309 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$1,295 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$1,300 Vol.

<1%

Franco Colapinto

$1,328 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$1,617 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$1,309 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$1,309 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$1,295 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Perez

$1,309 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$1,366 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hulkenberg

$1,295 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$1,295 Vol.

<1%

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 24, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.In the 2026 Formula 1 season, the Canadian Grand Prix market shows a tight contest at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve, where Kimi Antonelli holds a slim lead in implied probability over George Russell. Recent form from prior Grands Prix highlights Antonelli's strong qualifying pace and Mercedes' straight-line speed suiting the track's long straights and chicanes, while Russell benefits from consistent points finishes and teammate dynamics. Lando Norris and Max Verstappen remain close behind due to McLaren's aerodynamic strengths and Red Bull's proven adaptability in variable conditions. Factors including potential rain, tire degradation on the abrasive surface, and narrow margins in free practice sessions keep multiple drivers viable, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in a field where small setup advantages can shift outcomes significantly.

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 24, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$64,509
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 7:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 24, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 24, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.In the 2026 Formula 1 season, the Canadian Grand Prix market shows a tight contest at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve, where Kimi Antonelli holds a slim lead in implied probability over George Russell. Recent form from prior Grands Prix highlights Antonelli's strong qualifying pace and Mercedes' straight-line speed suiting the track's long straights and chicanes, while Russell benefits from consistent points finishes and teammate dynamics. Lando Norris and Max Verstappen remain close behind due to McLaren's aerodynamic strengths and Red Bull's proven adaptability in variable conditions. Factors including potential rain, tire degradation on the abrasive surface, and narrow margins in free practice sessions keep multiple drivers viable, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in a field where small setup advantages can shift outcomes significantly.

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 24, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$64,509
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 7:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 24, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Canadian Grand Prix: Driver Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 32%, followed by "George Russell" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Canadian Grand Prix: Driver Winner" has generated $64.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Canadian Grand Prix: Driver Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Canadian Grand Prix: Driver Winner" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "George Russell" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Canadian Grand Prix: Driver Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.