Norway’s squad depth and attacking firepower, anchored by Erling Haaland’s elite scoring record, position the team as the clear favorite in this 2026 World Cup Group I opener. Traders have priced the implied probability at 77.5% for a Norway win, reflecting the side’s dominant UEFA qualifying run that included victories over Italy and consistent clean sheets. Iraq’s 8.5% chance captures the significant gap in FIFA rankings and recent form, though the Lions of Mesopotamia carry momentum from their dramatic playoff qualification and first appearance in four decades. The 15% draw probability accounts for Iraq’s defensive resilience in recent Asian qualifiers, yet the matchup favors Norway’s pace and set-piece threats on neutral ground in Foxborough.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Iraq wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Iraq wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Norway’s squad depth and attacking firepower, anchored by Erling Haaland’s elite scoring record, position the team as the clear favorite in this 2026 World Cup Group I opener. Traders have priced the implied probability at 77.5% for a Norway win, reflecting the side’s dominant UEFA qualifying run that included victories over Italy and consistent clean sheets. Iraq’s 8.5% chance captures the significant gap in FIFA rankings and recent form, though the Lions of Mesopotamia carry momentum from their dramatic playoff qualification and first appearance in four decades. The 15% draw probability accounts for Iraq’s defensive resilience in recent Asian qualifiers, yet the matchup favors Norway’s pace and set-piece threats on neutral ground in Foxborough.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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