Recent meteorological model runs from global and regional forecasts indicate a daily maximum temperature in Buenos Aires on June 30 most likely between 13–15 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 14 °C (32.5 %) and 15 °C (31.0 %). Mid-latitude winter conditions feature a passing high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and modest daytime heating under clear to partly cloudy skies, keeping values near seasonal normals of 12–15 °C. Small differences in predicted timing of any weak frontal boundary or boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split between the two leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 16 °C or above reflect limited warm-air advection. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations tomorrow morning will resolve the precise peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 30?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 30?
14°C 33%
15°C 30%
16°C 16%
13°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
2%
13°C
14%
14°C
33%
15°C
30%
16°C
16%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
2%
14°C 33%
15°C 30%
16°C 16%
13°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
8°C or below
$677 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$101 Vol.
1%
11°C
$97 Vol.
3%
12°C
$0 Vol.
2%
13°C
$296 Vol.
14%
14°C
$209 Vol.
33%
15°C
$82 Vol.
30%
16°C
$297 Vol.
16%
17°C
$5 Vol.
3%
18°C or higher
$102 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model runs from global and regional forecasts indicate a daily maximum temperature in Buenos Aires on June 30 most likely between 13–15 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 14 °C (32.5 %) and 15 °C (31.0 %). Mid-latitude winter conditions feature a passing high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and modest daytime heating under clear to partly cloudy skies, keeping values near seasonal normals of 12–15 °C. Small differences in predicted timing of any weak frontal boundary or boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split between the two leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 16 °C or above reflect limited warm-air advection. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations tomorrow morning will resolve the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 28, 2026, 11:01 PM ET
Volume
$1,942End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 28, 2026, 11:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model runs from global and regional forecasts indicate a daily maximum temperature in Buenos Aires on June 30 most likely between 13–15 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 14 °C (32.5 %) and 15 °C (31.0 %). Mid-latitude winter conditions feature a passing high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and modest daytime heating under clear to partly cloudy skies, keeping values near seasonal normals of 12–15 °C. Small differences in predicted timing of any weak frontal boundary or boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split between the two leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 16 °C or above reflect limited warm-air advection. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations tomorrow morning will resolve the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,942End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 28, 2026, 11:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model runs from global and regional forecasts indicate a daily maximum temperature in Buenos Aires on June 30 most likely between 13–15 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 14 °C (32.5 %) and 15 °C (31.0 %). Mid-latitude winter conditions feature a passing high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and modest daytime heating under clear to partly cloudy skies, keeping values near seasonal normals of 12–15 °C. Small differences in predicted timing of any weak frontal boundary or boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split between the two leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 16 °C or above reflect limited warm-air advection. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations tomorrow morning will resolve the precise peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions