Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, fueled by a strong North Pacific high and suppressed monsoon activity, underpin trader focus on 37–39°C outcomes for Busan’s July 29 maximum. Coastal location introduces key variables: sea breezes from the Korea Strait can cap afternoon peaks through advection of cooler marine air, while reduced cloud cover under the ridge would allow greater solar insolation and push readings toward 39°C. Model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and exact steering flow create the tight 32–23% split between 38°C and 39°C, with KMA short-range guidance and ensemble runs due in the next 24–48 hours likely to refine whether daytime heating exceeds recent 34–35°C observed highs. Historical July extremes near 35°C provide context, yet this season’s elevated baseline raises the odds of an outlier peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on July 29?
Highest temperature in Busan on July 29?
38°C 42%
39°C 24%
37°C 22%
40°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Jul 29, 2026
34°C or below
2%
35°C
3%
36°C
6%
37°C
22%
38°C
42%
39°C
24%
40°C
8%
41°C
3%
42°C
2%
43°C
2%
44°C or higher
<1%
38°C 42%
39°C 24%
37°C 22%
40°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Jul 29, 2026
34°C or below
$11 Vol.
2%
35°C
$18 Vol.
3%
36°C
$5 Vol.
6%
37°C
$7 Vol.
22%
38°C
$1,617 Vol.
42%
39°C
$61 Vol.
24%
40°C
$144 Vol.
8%
41°C
$171 Vol.
3%
42°C
$10 Vol.
2%
43°C
$10 Vol.
2%
44°C or higher
$115 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, fueled by a strong North Pacific high and suppressed monsoon activity, underpin trader focus on 37–39°C outcomes for Busan’s July 29 maximum. Coastal location introduces key variables: sea breezes from the Korea Strait can cap afternoon peaks through advection of cooler marine air, while reduced cloud cover under the ridge would allow greater solar insolation and push readings toward 39°C. Model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and exact steering flow create the tight 32–23% split between 38°C and 39°C, with KMA short-range guidance and ensemble runs due in the next 24–48 hours likely to refine whether daytime heating exceeds recent 34–35°C observed highs. Historical July extremes near 35°C provide context, yet this season’s elevated baseline raises the odds of an outlier peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 27, 2026, 4:06 AM ET
Volume
$2,169End Date
Jul 29, 2026Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 4:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, fueled by a strong North Pacific high and suppressed monsoon activity, underpin trader focus on 37–39°C outcomes for Busan’s July 29 maximum. Coastal location introduces key variables: sea breezes from the Korea Strait can cap afternoon peaks through advection of cooler marine air, while reduced cloud cover under the ridge would allow greater solar insolation and push readings toward 39°C. Model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and exact steering flow create the tight 32–23% split between 38°C and 39°C, with KMA short-range guidance and ensemble runs due in the next 24–48 hours likely to refine whether daytime heating exceeds recent 34–35°C observed highs. Historical July extremes near 35°C provide context, yet this season’s elevated baseline raises the odds of an outlier peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,169End Date
Jul 29, 2026Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 4:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, fueled by a strong North Pacific high and suppressed monsoon activity, underpin trader focus on 37–39°C outcomes for Busan’s July 29 maximum. Coastal location introduces key variables: sea breezes from the Korea Strait can cap afternoon peaks through advection of cooler marine air, while reduced cloud cover under the ridge would allow greater solar insolation and push readings toward 39°C. Model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and exact steering flow create the tight 32–23% split between 38°C and 39°C, with KMA short-range guidance and ensemble runs due in the next 24–48 hours likely to refine whether daytime heating exceeds recent 34–35°C observed highs. Historical July extremes near 35°C provide context, yet this season’s elevated baseline raises the odds of an outlier peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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