Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions over Tokyo on July 27 with a chance of scattered showers, moderating peak heating compared to clearer late-July patterns. This aligns with the closely matched market odds around 29–31°C, where trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in exact insolation and timing of any afternoon convection. Typical climatology places the daily normal high near 31.4°C, but urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C locally under full sun, while increased cloud cover or rain suppresses readings toward the lower end of the distribution. Model consensus and updated guidance on boundary-layer moisture will likely narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 27?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 27?
30°C 37%
29°C 25%
31°C 22%
28°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 27, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
13%
29°C
25%
30°C
37%
31°C
22%
32°C
10%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 37%
29°C 25%
31°C 22%
28°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 27, 2026
25°C or below
$120 Vol.
1%
26°C
$415 Vol.
3%
27°C
$80 Vol.
8%
28°C
$3 Vol.
13%
29°C
$0 Vol.
25%
30°C
$24 Vol.
37%
31°C
$37 Vol.
22%
32°C
$1 Vol.
10%
33°C
$120 Vol.
3%
34°C
$37 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$196 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions over Tokyo on July 27 with a chance of scattered showers, moderating peak heating compared to clearer late-July patterns. This aligns with the closely matched market odds around 29–31°C, where trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in exact insolation and timing of any afternoon convection. Typical climatology places the daily normal high near 31.4°C, but urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C locally under full sun, while increased cloud cover or rain suppresses readings toward the lower end of the distribution. Model consensus and updated guidance on boundary-layer moisture will likely narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,034End Date
Jul 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions over Tokyo on July 27 with a chance of scattered showers, moderating peak heating compared to clearer late-July patterns. This aligns with the closely matched market odds around 29–31°C, where trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in exact insolation and timing of any afternoon convection. Typical climatology places the daily normal high near 31.4°C, but urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C locally under full sun, while increased cloud cover or rain suppresses readings toward the lower end of the distribution. Model consensus and updated guidance on boundary-layer moisture will likely narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,034End Date
Jul 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions over Tokyo on July 27 with a chance of scattered showers, moderating peak heating compared to clearer late-July patterns. This aligns with the closely matched market odds around 29–31°C, where trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in exact insolation and timing of any afternoon convection. Typical climatology places the daily normal high near 31.4°C, but urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C locally under full sun, while increased cloud cover or rain suppresses readings toward the lower end of the distribution. Model consensus and updated guidance on boundary-layer moisture will likely narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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