Traders view the highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 27 as most likely 21–22°C due to closely aligned short-range forecast guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. A stable high-pressure ridge over the North Sea is expected to limit strong advection of continental warmth, keeping daytime maxima in the low 20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies. Recent KNMI surface observations show modest warming trends without extreme heatwave conditions, while model spread centers on minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1°C. Updated runs and any last-minute adjustments to frontal timing remain the primary catalysts for further shifts in market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 27?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 27?
21°C 35%
22°C 32%
20°C 23%
19°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 27, 2026
17°C or below
7%
18°C
8%
19°C
13%
20°C
23%
21°C
35%
22°C
32%
23°C
6%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
2%
21°C 35%
22°C 32%
20°C 23%
19°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 27, 2026
17°C or below
$15 Vol.
7%
18°C
$8 Vol.
8%
19°C
$0 Vol.
13%
20°C
$0 Vol.
23%
21°C
$5 Vol.
35%
22°C
$5 Vol.
32%
23°C
$4 Vol.
6%
24°C
$8 Vol.
3%
25°C
$20 Vol.
1%
26°C
$15 Vol.
2%
27°C or higher
$15 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders view the highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 27 as most likely 21–22°C due to closely aligned short-range forecast guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. A stable high-pressure ridge over the North Sea is expected to limit strong advection of continental warmth, keeping daytime maxima in the low 20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies. Recent KNMI surface observations show modest warming trends without extreme heatwave conditions, while model spread centers on minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1°C. Updated runs and any last-minute adjustments to frontal timing remain the primary catalysts for further shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$95End Date
Jul 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders view the highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 27 as most likely 21–22°C due to closely aligned short-range forecast guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. A stable high-pressure ridge over the North Sea is expected to limit strong advection of continental warmth, keeping daytime maxima in the low 20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies. Recent KNMI surface observations show modest warming trends without extreme heatwave conditions, while model spread centers on minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1°C. Updated runs and any last-minute adjustments to frontal timing remain the primary catalysts for further shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$95End Date
Jul 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view the highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 27 as most likely 21–22°C due to closely aligned short-range forecast guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. A stable high-pressure ridge over the North Sea is expected to limit strong advection of continental warmth, keeping daytime maxima in the low 20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies. Recent KNMI surface observations show modest warming trends without extreme heatwave conditions, while model spread centers on minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1°C. Updated runs and any last-minute adjustments to frontal timing remain the primary catalysts for further shifts in market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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