Recent forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate Seoul's overnight low on July 27 will likely settle near 24–26°C amid persistent summer monsoon humidity and light southerly flow that limits radiative cooling. Scattered showers or cloud cover expected late on the 26th could trap heat and nudge the minimum higher, while clearer breaks might allow brief drops toward 23°C. These closely matched market-implied probabilities reflect model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any nocturnal rain, with traders weighing historical July climatology (average lows near 23–25°C) against the latest ensemble runs showing modest day-to-day variability. Updated guidance on the 26th will refine steering patterns and precipitation chances ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on July 27?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 27?
30°C or higher 27%
25°C 24%
26°C 19%
24°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Jul 27, 2026
20°C or below
14%
21°C
8%
22°C
9%
23°C
16%
24°C
18%
25°C
24%
26°C
19%
27°C
15%
28°C
8%
29°C
15%
30°C or higher
27%
30°C or higher 27%
25°C 24%
26°C 19%
24°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Jul 27, 2026
20°C or below
$37 Vol.
14%
21°C
$27 Vol.
8%
22°C
$27 Vol.
9%
23°C
$0 Vol.
16%
24°C
$0 Vol.
18%
25°C
$0 Vol.
24%
26°C
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$0 Vol.
15%
28°C
$27 Vol.
8%
29°C
$37 Vol.
15%
30°C or higher
$37 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate Seoul's overnight low on July 27 will likely settle near 24–26°C amid persistent summer monsoon humidity and light southerly flow that limits radiative cooling. Scattered showers or cloud cover expected late on the 26th could trap heat and nudge the minimum higher, while clearer breaks might allow brief drops toward 23°C. These closely matched market-implied probabilities reflect model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any nocturnal rain, with traders weighing historical July climatology (average lows near 23–25°C) against the latest ensemble runs showing modest day-to-day variability. Updated guidance on the 26th will refine steering patterns and precipitation chances ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$191End Date
Jul 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate Seoul's overnight low on July 27 will likely settle near 24–26°C amid persistent summer monsoon humidity and light southerly flow that limits radiative cooling. Scattered showers or cloud cover expected late on the 26th could trap heat and nudge the minimum higher, while clearer breaks might allow brief drops toward 23°C. These closely matched market-implied probabilities reflect model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any nocturnal rain, with traders weighing historical July climatology (average lows near 23–25°C) against the latest ensemble runs showing modest day-to-day variability. Updated guidance on the 26th will refine steering patterns and precipitation chances ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$191End Date
Jul 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate Seoul's overnight low on July 27 will likely settle near 24–26°C amid persistent summer monsoon humidity and light southerly flow that limits radiative cooling. Scattered showers or cloud cover expected late on the 26th could trap heat and nudge the minimum higher, while clearer breaks might allow brief drops toward 23°C. These closely matched market-implied probabilities reflect model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any nocturnal rain, with traders weighing historical July climatology (average lows near 23–25°C) against the latest ensemble runs showing modest day-to-day variability. Updated guidance on the 26th will refine steering patterns and precipitation chances ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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