Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a cloudy July 27 with potential scattered showers amid an ongoing regional heatwave, supporting trader focus on 24–26°C lows as the most probable outcomes. Persistent high pressure has elevated nighttime temperatures above the typical 23–24°C July baseline, yet increased cloud cover and humidity are expected to limit radiative cooling and keep minimums from dropping sharply. Model consensus highlights steering patterns that may introduce modest relief compared to peak heat days, while urban heat island effects sustain warmer readings. Updated JMA guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable that could shift sentiment among the tightly bunched leading probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tokyo on July 27?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 27?
25°C 42%
24°C 35%
26°C 15%
27°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jul 27, 2026
19°C or below
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C
10%
24°C
35%
25°C
42%
26°C
15%
27°C
9%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 42%
24°C 35%
26°C 15%
27°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jul 27, 2026
19°C or below
$32 Vol.
4%
20°C
$37 Vol.
4%
21°C
$264 Vol.
8%
22°C
$264 Vol.
8%
23°C
$260 Vol.
10%
24°C
$197 Vol.
35%
25°C
$300 Vol.
42%
26°C
$332 Vol.
15%
27°C
$270 Vol.
9%
28°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$382 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a cloudy July 27 with potential scattered showers amid an ongoing regional heatwave, supporting trader focus on 24–26°C lows as the most probable outcomes. Persistent high pressure has elevated nighttime temperatures above the typical 23–24°C July baseline, yet increased cloud cover and humidity are expected to limit radiative cooling and keep minimums from dropping sharply. Model consensus highlights steering patterns that may introduce modest relief compared to peak heat days, while urban heat island effects sustain warmer readings. Updated JMA guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable that could shift sentiment among the tightly bunched leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,542End Date
Jul 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a cloudy July 27 with potential scattered showers amid an ongoing regional heatwave, supporting trader focus on 24–26°C lows as the most probable outcomes. Persistent high pressure has elevated nighttime temperatures above the typical 23–24°C July baseline, yet increased cloud cover and humidity are expected to limit radiative cooling and keep minimums from dropping sharply. Model consensus highlights steering patterns that may introduce modest relief compared to peak heat days, while urban heat island effects sustain warmer readings. Updated JMA guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable that could shift sentiment among the tightly bunched leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,542End Date
Jul 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a cloudy July 27 with potential scattered showers amid an ongoing regional heatwave, supporting trader focus on 24–26°C lows as the most probable outcomes. Persistent high pressure has elevated nighttime temperatures above the typical 23–24°C July baseline, yet increased cloud cover and humidity are expected to limit radiative cooling and keep minimums from dropping sharply. Model consensus highlights steering patterns that may introduce modest relief compared to peak heat days, while urban heat island effects sustain warmer readings. Updated JMA guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable that could shift sentiment among the tightly bunched leading probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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