Recent forecast guidance points to a cooler-than-normal July 25 in Ankara, with model consensus favoring daytime maxima near 21–23 °C amid increased cloud cover and possible scattered showers totaling 5–25 mm. This setup reduces solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, limiting the surface energy budget compared with typical July conditions of 30–32 °C under clear, subsiding air. Light northerly flow may also advect slightly cooler mid-level air, while weak instability could trigger brief convective cells that further cap peak temperatures. Trader odds remain tightly clustered between 20–22 °C because numerical models diverge on the exact timing and coverage of clouds versus breaks of sun, leaving room for last-minute revisions from updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on July 25?
Highest temperature in Ankara on July 25?
20°C 32%
19°C 28%
18°C 16.7%
21°C 16%
NEW
$29,012 Vol.
NEW
$29,012 Vol.
Jul 25, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
17%
19°C
28%
20°C
32%
21°C
16%
22°C
7%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 32%
19°C 28%
18°C 16.7%
21°C 16%
NEW
$29,012 Vol.
NEW
$29,012 Vol.
Jul 25, 2026
16°C or below
$7,446 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,693 Vol.
6%
18°C
$2,674 Vol.
17%
19°C
$1,856 Vol.
28%
20°C
$2,184 Vol.
32%
21°C
$2,567 Vol.
16%
22°C
$2,805 Vol.
7%
23°C
$3,326 Vol.
2%
24°C
$1,651 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,092 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,815 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance points to a cooler-than-normal July 25 in Ankara, with model consensus favoring daytime maxima near 21–23 °C amid increased cloud cover and possible scattered showers totaling 5–25 mm. This setup reduces solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, limiting the surface energy budget compared with typical July conditions of 30–32 °C under clear, subsiding air. Light northerly flow may also advect slightly cooler mid-level air, while weak instability could trigger brief convective cells that further cap peak temperatures. Trader odds remain tightly clustered between 20–22 °C because numerical models diverge on the exact timing and coverage of clouds versus breaks of sun, leaving room for last-minute revisions from updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$29,012End Date
Jul 25, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance points to a cooler-than-normal July 25 in Ankara, with model consensus favoring daytime maxima near 21–23 °C amid increased cloud cover and possible scattered showers totaling 5–25 mm. This setup reduces solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, limiting the surface energy budget compared with typical July conditions of 30–32 °C under clear, subsiding air. Light northerly flow may also advect slightly cooler mid-level air, while weak instability could trigger brief convective cells that further cap peak temperatures. Trader odds remain tightly clustered between 20–22 °C because numerical models diverge on the exact timing and coverage of clouds versus breaks of sun, leaving room for last-minute revisions from updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,012End Date
Jul 25, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance points to a cooler-than-normal July 25 in Ankara, with model consensus favoring daytime maxima near 21–23 °C amid increased cloud cover and possible scattered showers totaling 5–25 mm. This setup reduces solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, limiting the surface energy budget compared with typical July conditions of 30–32 °C under clear, subsiding air. Light northerly flow may also advect slightly cooler mid-level air, while weak instability could trigger brief convective cells that further cap peak temperatures. Trader odds remain tightly clustered between 20–22 °C because numerical models diverge on the exact timing and coverage of clouds versus breaks of sun, leaving room for last-minute revisions from updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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