Trader sentiment for Tokyo’s July 24 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecasts showing a likely peak near 32–33 °C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and strong urban heat-island amplification in the Kanto plain. Recent model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate modest day-to-day variability tied to timing of any scattered showers or changes in boundary-layer mixing; lighter winds and higher dew points favor the upper end of the 31–34 °C range while increased cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could cap readings near 31 °C. Historical late-July climatology places average daily maxima around 31–32 °C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus is being weighed by traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 24?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 24?
33°C 27%
32°C 24%
34°C 23%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 24, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
13%
32°C
24%
33°C
27%
34°C
23%
35°C
12%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 27%
32°C 24%
34°C 23%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 24, 2026
27°C or below
$271 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$87 Vol.
1%
30°C
$211 Vol.
3%
31°C
$223 Vol.
13%
32°C
$118 Vol.
24%
33°C
$118 Vol.
27%
34°C
$342 Vol.
23%
35°C
$332 Vol.
12%
36°C
$208 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$116 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Tokyo’s July 24 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecasts showing a likely peak near 32–33 °C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and strong urban heat-island amplification in the Kanto plain. Recent model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate modest day-to-day variability tied to timing of any scattered showers or changes in boundary-layer mixing; lighter winds and higher dew points favor the upper end of the 31–34 °C range while increased cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could cap readings near 31 °C. Historical late-July climatology places average daily maxima around 31–32 °C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus is being weighed by traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,162End Date
Jul 24, 2026Market Opened
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Tokyo’s July 24 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecasts showing a likely peak near 32–33 °C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and strong urban heat-island amplification in the Kanto plain. Recent model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate modest day-to-day variability tied to timing of any scattered showers or changes in boundary-layer mixing; lighter winds and higher dew points favor the upper end of the 31–34 °C range while increased cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could cap readings near 31 °C. Historical late-July climatology places average daily maxima around 31–32 °C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus is being weighed by traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,162End Date
Jul 24, 2026Market Opened
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Tokyo’s July 24 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecasts showing a likely peak near 32–33 °C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and strong urban heat-island amplification in the Kanto plain. Recent model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate modest day-to-day variability tied to timing of any scattered showers or changes in boundary-layer mixing; lighter winds and higher dew points favor the upper end of the 31–34 °C range while increased cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could cap readings near 31 °C. Historical late-July climatology places average daily maxima around 31–32 °C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus is being weighed by traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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