Short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show Paris overnight lows clustered around 14–16°C for July 24, driven by high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that enhance radiative cooling after sunset. Historical July averages near 16°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from cloud cover or urban heat island effects can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 13–15°C outcomes reflects model spread and the narrow resolution thresholds, with any late adjustment in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed likely to reprice the market before the official Météo-France reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on July 24?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 24?
10°C or below 34%
13°C 21%
14°C 19%
15°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Jul 24, 2026
10°C or below
34%
11°C
14%
12°C
18%
13°C
21%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
18%
17°C
18%
18°C
11%
19°C
15%
20°C or higher
16%
10°C or below 34%
13°C 21%
14°C 19%
15°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Jul 24, 2026
10°C or below
$32 Vol.
34%
11°C
$27 Vol.
14%
12°C
$0 Vol.
18%
13°C
$0 Vol.
21%
14°C
$0 Vol.
19%
15°C
$0 Vol.
19%
16°C
$0 Vol.
18%
17°C
$0 Vol.
18%
18°C
$27 Vol.
11%
19°C
$32 Vol.
15%
20°C or higher
$32 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show Paris overnight lows clustered around 14–16°C for July 24, driven by high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that enhance radiative cooling after sunset. Historical July averages near 16°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from cloud cover or urban heat island effects can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 13–15°C outcomes reflects model spread and the narrow resolution thresholds, with any late adjustment in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed likely to reprice the market before the official Météo-France reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$149End Date
Jul 24, 2026Market Opened
Jul 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show Paris overnight lows clustered around 14–16°C for July 24, driven by high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that enhance radiative cooling after sunset. Historical July averages near 16°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from cloud cover or urban heat island effects can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 13–15°C outcomes reflects model spread and the narrow resolution thresholds, with any late adjustment in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed likely to reprice the market before the official Météo-France reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$149End Date
Jul 24, 2026Market Opened
Jul 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show Paris overnight lows clustered around 14–16°C for July 24, driven by high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that enhance radiative cooling after sunset. Historical July averages near 16°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from cloud cover or urban heat island effects can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 13–15°C outcomes reflects model spread and the narrow resolution thresholds, with any late adjustment in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed likely to reprice the market before the official Météo-France reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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