**Latest forecast guidance from models and agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature in the upper 30s Celsius for Chengdu on July 22, 2026, amid the influence of the Western Pacific Subtropical High.** This ridge typically sustains hot, subsiding air over the Sichuan Basin during peak summer, amplified by the urban heat island effect and high humidity that limits nighttime cooling. Recent model runs show modest variability, with some projecting 38–39°C under partly cloudy conditions and others allowing brief excursions toward 40–41°C if subsidence strengthens or winds remain light. Incoming moisture or a weak frontal boundary could cap readings near 37–38°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because these thresholds align with ensemble spreads and historical July extremes, while probabilities drop sharply outside this window as resolution nears. Updated model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 22?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 22?
40°C 32%
41°C 25%
39°C 19%
42°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Jul 22, 2026
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
2%
38°C
8%
39°C
19%
40°C
32%
41°C
25%
42°C
8%
43°C
2%
44°C or higher
<1%
40°C 32%
41°C 25%
39°C 19%
42°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Jul 22, 2026
34°C or below
$128 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$390 Vol.
1%
36°C
$116 Vol.
1%
37°C
$232 Vol.
2%
38°C
$483 Vol.
8%
39°C
$556 Vol.
19%
40°C
$37 Vol.
32%
41°C
$1,291 Vol.
25%
42°C
$528 Vol.
8%
43°C
$406 Vol.
2%
44°C or higher
$511 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecast guidance from models and agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature in the upper 30s Celsius for Chengdu on July 22, 2026, amid the influence of the Western Pacific Subtropical High.** This ridge typically sustains hot, subsiding air over the Sichuan Basin during peak summer, amplified by the urban heat island effect and high humidity that limits nighttime cooling. Recent model runs show modest variability, with some projecting 38–39°C under partly cloudy conditions and others allowing brief excursions toward 40–41°C if subsidence strengthens or winds remain light. Incoming moisture or a weak frontal boundary could cap readings near 37–38°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because these thresholds align with ensemble spreads and historical July extremes, while probabilities drop sharply outside this window as resolution nears. Updated model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$4,678End Date
Jul 22, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecast guidance from models and agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature in the upper 30s Celsius for Chengdu on July 22, 2026, amid the influence of the Western Pacific Subtropical High.** This ridge typically sustains hot, subsiding air over the Sichuan Basin during peak summer, amplified by the urban heat island effect and high humidity that limits nighttime cooling. Recent model runs show modest variability, with some projecting 38–39°C under partly cloudy conditions and others allowing brief excursions toward 40–41°C if subsidence strengthens or winds remain light. Incoming moisture or a weak frontal boundary could cap readings near 37–38°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because these thresholds align with ensemble spreads and historical July extremes, while probabilities drop sharply outside this window as resolution nears. Updated model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,678End Date
Jul 22, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest forecast guidance from models and agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature in the upper 30s Celsius for Chengdu on July 22, 2026, amid the influence of the Western Pacific Subtropical High.** This ridge typically sustains hot, subsiding air over the Sichuan Basin during peak summer, amplified by the urban heat island effect and high humidity that limits nighttime cooling. Recent model runs show modest variability, with some projecting 38–39°C under partly cloudy conditions and others allowing brief excursions toward 40–41°C if subsidence strengthens or winds remain light. Incoming moisture or a weak frontal boundary could cap readings near 37–38°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because these thresholds align with ensemble spreads and historical July extremes, while probabilities drop sharply outside this window as resolution nears. Updated model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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