Recent forecasts from numerical weather models indicate a likely daily maximum around 28–32°C for Wuhan on July 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain showers, and moderate southerly flow that limits daytime heating in the Yangtze River valley. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on 29–31°C outcomes, as current ensemble guidance shows only modest warming potential compared with Wuhan’s typical July climatology of 32–35°C highs. Recent observations, including the unseasonably cool 26°C peak on July 3, underscore how transient monsoon influences and precipitation can suppress temperatures below long-term averages. Updated model runs from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will likely refine steering patterns and instability, with any shift toward clearer skies or stronger subsidence potentially elevating odds for 32°C or higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 22?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 22?
31°C 28%
30°C 28%
29°C 24%
32°C 11%
NEW
$25,628 Vol.
NEW
$25,628 Vol.
Jul 22, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
24%
30°C
28%
31°C
28%
32°C
11%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 28%
30°C 28%
29°C 24%
32°C 11%
NEW
$25,628 Vol.
NEW
$25,628 Vol.
Jul 22, 2026
25°C or below
$120 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,033 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$591 Vol.
5%
29°C
$2,306 Vol.
24%
30°C
$835 Vol.
28%
31°C
$12,908 Vol.
28%
32°C
$2,365 Vol.
11%
33°C
$1,978 Vol.
6%
34°C
$2,131 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$162 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from numerical weather models indicate a likely daily maximum around 28–32°C for Wuhan on July 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain showers, and moderate southerly flow that limits daytime heating in the Yangtze River valley. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on 29–31°C outcomes, as current ensemble guidance shows only modest warming potential compared with Wuhan’s typical July climatology of 32–35°C highs. Recent observations, including the unseasonably cool 26°C peak on July 3, underscore how transient monsoon influences and precipitation can suppress temperatures below long-term averages. Updated model runs from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will likely refine steering patterns and instability, with any shift toward clearer skies or stronger subsidence potentially elevating odds for 32°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$25,628End Date
Jul 22, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from numerical weather models indicate a likely daily maximum around 28–32°C for Wuhan on July 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain showers, and moderate southerly flow that limits daytime heating in the Yangtze River valley. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on 29–31°C outcomes, as current ensemble guidance shows only modest warming potential compared with Wuhan’s typical July climatology of 32–35°C highs. Recent observations, including the unseasonably cool 26°C peak on July 3, underscore how transient monsoon influences and precipitation can suppress temperatures below long-term averages. Updated model runs from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will likely refine steering patterns and instability, with any shift toward clearer skies or stronger subsidence potentially elevating odds for 32°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,628End Date
Jul 22, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from numerical weather models indicate a likely daily maximum around 28–32°C for Wuhan on July 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain showers, and moderate southerly flow that limits daytime heating in the Yangtze River valley. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on 29–31°C outcomes, as current ensemble guidance shows only modest warming potential compared with Wuhan’s typical July climatology of 32–35°C highs. Recent observations, including the unseasonably cool 26°C peak on July 3, underscore how transient monsoon influences and precipitation can suppress temperatures below long-term averages. Updated model runs from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will likely refine steering patterns and instability, with any shift toward clearer skies or stronger subsidence potentially elevating odds for 32°C or higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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