Recent summer conditions in coastal Qingdao feature typical July highs near 28–30 °C, moderated by Yellow Sea breezes that cap daytime peaks even during warm spells. With the July 23 maximum just two days ahead, trader odds cluster around 30–33 °C because ensemble forecasts show modest spread in cloud cover, humidity, and any late-arriving monsoon moisture that could suppress or allow a brief 31–32 °C reading. Clear, subsiding air under high pressure favors the upper end of the range, while scattered showers or stronger on-shore flow would keep readings nearer 29–30 °C. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market on the daily maximum at the primary station, and the tight distribution of implied probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty in the final 48-hour model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 23?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 23?
30°C 32%
31°C 30%
29°C 18%
32°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Jul 23, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
18%
30°C
32%
31°C
30%
32°C
15%
33°C or higher
4%
30°C 32%
31°C 30%
29°C 18%
32°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Jul 23, 2026
23°C or below
$195 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$22 Vol.
1%
27°C
$287 Vol.
1%
28°C
$390 Vol.
7%
29°C
$75 Vol.
18%
30°C
$2 Vol.
32%
31°C
$3 Vol.
30%
32°C
$152 Vol.
15%
33°C or higher
$95 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent summer conditions in coastal Qingdao feature typical July highs near 28–30 °C, moderated by Yellow Sea breezes that cap daytime peaks even during warm spells. With the July 23 maximum just two days ahead, trader odds cluster around 30–33 °C because ensemble forecasts show modest spread in cloud cover, humidity, and any late-arriving monsoon moisture that could suppress or allow a brief 31–32 °C reading. Clear, subsiding air under high pressure favors the upper end of the range, while scattered showers or stronger on-shore flow would keep readings nearer 29–30 °C. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market on the daily maximum at the primary station, and the tight distribution of implied probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty in the final 48-hour model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,611End Date
Jul 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent summer conditions in coastal Qingdao feature typical July highs near 28–30 °C, moderated by Yellow Sea breezes that cap daytime peaks even during warm spells. With the July 23 maximum just two days ahead, trader odds cluster around 30–33 °C because ensemble forecasts show modest spread in cloud cover, humidity, and any late-arriving monsoon moisture that could suppress or allow a brief 31–32 °C reading. Clear, subsiding air under high pressure favors the upper end of the range, while scattered showers or stronger on-shore flow would keep readings nearer 29–30 °C. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market on the daily maximum at the primary station, and the tight distribution of implied probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty in the final 48-hour model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,611End Date
Jul 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent summer conditions in coastal Qingdao feature typical July highs near 28–30 °C, moderated by Yellow Sea breezes that cap daytime peaks even during warm spells. With the July 23 maximum just two days ahead, trader odds cluster around 30–33 °C because ensemble forecasts show modest spread in cloud cover, humidity, and any late-arriving monsoon moisture that could suppress or allow a brief 31–32 °C reading. Clear, subsiding air under high pressure favors the upper end of the range, while scattered showers or stronger on-shore flow would keep readings nearer 29–30 °C. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market on the daily maximum at the primary station, and the tight distribution of implied probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty in the final 48-hour model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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