Recent forecasts for Cape Town on July 23 indicate daytime maxima clustered around 13–16°C amid a passing cold front, with light rain and northerly winds expected to moderate peaks. Official model guidance from sources such as YR.no and local meteorological updates shows slight day-to-day revisions between 14°C and 16°C, reflecting typical winter variability driven by Atlantic frontal systems that lower temperatures below the seasonal 17°C average. Trader consensus, with 15°C and 14°C leading at roughly equal implied probabilities near 30–34%, captures this narrow uncertainty range, where small shifts in front timing or cloud cover could determine the exact high. Upcoming model runs and official South African Weather Service updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on July 23?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 23?
15°C 36%
14°C 33%
16°C 19%
13°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Jul 23, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
10%
14°C
33%
15°C
36%
16°C
19%
17°C
4%
18°C or higher
1%
15°C 36%
14°C 33%
16°C 19%
13°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Jul 23, 2026
8°C or below
$351 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$89 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$85 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$91 Vol.
1%
12°C
$224 Vol.
1%
13°C
$132 Vol.
10%
14°C
$1,064 Vol.
33%
15°C
$286 Vol.
36%
16°C
$399 Vol.
19%
17°C
$190 Vol.
4%
18°C or higher
$148 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Cape Town on July 23 indicate daytime maxima clustered around 13–16°C amid a passing cold front, with light rain and northerly winds expected to moderate peaks. Official model guidance from sources such as YR.no and local meteorological updates shows slight day-to-day revisions between 14°C and 16°C, reflecting typical winter variability driven by Atlantic frontal systems that lower temperatures below the seasonal 17°C average. Trader consensus, with 15°C and 14°C leading at roughly equal implied probabilities near 30–34%, captures this narrow uncertainty range, where small shifts in front timing or cloud cover could determine the exact high. Upcoming model runs and official South African Weather Service updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 21, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$3,061End Date
Jul 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Cape Town on July 23 indicate daytime maxima clustered around 13–16°C amid a passing cold front, with light rain and northerly winds expected to moderate peaks. Official model guidance from sources such as YR.no and local meteorological updates shows slight day-to-day revisions between 14°C and 16°C, reflecting typical winter variability driven by Atlantic frontal systems that lower temperatures below the seasonal 17°C average. Trader consensus, with 15°C and 14°C leading at roughly equal implied probabilities near 30–34%, captures this narrow uncertainty range, where small shifts in front timing or cloud cover could determine the exact high. Upcoming model runs and official South African Weather Service updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,061End Date
Jul 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Cape Town on July 23 indicate daytime maxima clustered around 13–16°C amid a passing cold front, with light rain and northerly winds expected to moderate peaks. Official model guidance from sources such as YR.no and local meteorological updates shows slight day-to-day revisions between 14°C and 16°C, reflecting typical winter variability driven by Atlantic frontal systems that lower temperatures below the seasonal 17°C average. Trader consensus, with 15°C and 14°C leading at roughly equal implied probabilities near 30–34%, captures this narrow uncertainty range, where small shifts in front timing or cloud cover could determine the exact high. Upcoming model runs and official South African Weather Service updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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