Forecast models for Shenzhen indicate daily maximum temperatures of 30–32°C on July 21 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, monsoon moisture, and scattered thunderstorms that can limit afternoon heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent patterns show consistent highs near 32°C, though convective activity and variable wind flow introduce uncertainty in peak readings measured at official stations. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects model spread in timing and intensity of rainfall, with historical July averages of 31–33°C providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated numerical guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 21?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 21?
31°C 32%
30°C 22%
32°C 21%
29°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Jul 21, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
22%
31°C
32%
32°C
21%
33°C
7%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 32%
30°C 22%
32°C 21%
29°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Jul 21, 2026
25°C or below
$128 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$241 Vol.
2%
28°C
$459 Vol.
4%
29°C
$741 Vol.
16%
30°C
$818 Vol.
22%
31°C
$343 Vol.
32%
32°C
$1,076 Vol.
21%
33°C
$542 Vol.
7%
34°C
$720 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$517 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shenzhen indicate daily maximum temperatures of 30–32°C on July 21 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, monsoon moisture, and scattered thunderstorms that can limit afternoon heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent patterns show consistent highs near 32°C, though convective activity and variable wind flow introduce uncertainty in peak readings measured at official stations. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects model spread in timing and intensity of rainfall, with historical July averages of 31–33°C providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated numerical guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$5,829End Date
Jul 21, 2026Market Opened
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shenzhen indicate daily maximum temperatures of 30–32°C on July 21 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, monsoon moisture, and scattered thunderstorms that can limit afternoon heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent patterns show consistent highs near 32°C, though convective activity and variable wind flow introduce uncertainty in peak readings measured at official stations. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects model spread in timing and intensity of rainfall, with historical July averages of 31–33°C providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated numerical guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,829End Date
Jul 21, 2026Market Opened
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Shenzhen indicate daily maximum temperatures of 30–32°C on July 21 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, monsoon moisture, and scattered thunderstorms that can limit afternoon heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent patterns show consistent highs near 32°C, though convective activity and variable wind flow introduce uncertainty in peak readings measured at official stations. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects model spread in timing and intensity of rainfall, with historical July averages of 31–33°C providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated numerical guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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