Traders price Denver's July 21 high most heavily in the 90–95°F range because the latest National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus projects a typical midsummer pattern with surface highs near 92°F under partly sunny skies. Differentiating outcomes hinge on afternoon convective cloud cover and any weak frontal passage that could suppress peak temperatures versus stronger insolation and downslope warming that would push readings into the mid-90s. Ensemble spread remains modest at this short lead time, with historical July climatology showing average highs near 90°F and a standard deviation of roughly 4–6°F. New model cycles and local observations over the next 24 hours will narrow the remaining uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on July 21?
Highest temperature in Denver on July 21?
94-95°F 38%
92-93°F 36%
96-97°F 17%
90-91°F 9%
NEW
$17,664 Vol.
NEW
$17,664 Vol.
Jul 21, 2026
85°F or below
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
36%
94-95°F
38%
96-97°F
17%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 38%
92-93°F 36%
96-97°F 17%
90-91°F 9%
NEW
$17,664 Vol.
NEW
$17,664 Vol.
Jul 21, 2026
85°F or below
$1,369 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$838 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$974 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$1,760 Vol.
9%
92-93°F
$6,030 Vol.
36%
94-95°F
$3,900 Vol.
38%
96-97°F
$837 Vol.
17%
98-99°F
$480 Vol.
2%
100-101°F
$456 Vol.
1%
102-103°F
$527 Vol.
<1%
104°F or higher
$494 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders price Denver's July 21 high most heavily in the 90–95°F range because the latest National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus projects a typical midsummer pattern with surface highs near 92°F under partly sunny skies. Differentiating outcomes hinge on afternoon convective cloud cover and any weak frontal passage that could suppress peak temperatures versus stronger insolation and downslope warming that would push readings into the mid-90s. Ensemble spread remains modest at this short lead time, with historical July climatology showing average highs near 90°F and a standard deviation of roughly 4–6°F. New model cycles and local observations over the next 24 hours will narrow the remaining uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 19, 2026, 9:09 PM ET
Volume
$17,664End Date
Jul 21, 2026Market Opened
Jul 19, 2026, 9:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders price Denver's July 21 high most heavily in the 90–95°F range because the latest National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus projects a typical midsummer pattern with surface highs near 92°F under partly sunny skies. Differentiating outcomes hinge on afternoon convective cloud cover and any weak frontal passage that could suppress peak temperatures versus stronger insolation and downslope warming that would push readings into the mid-90s. Ensemble spread remains modest at this short lead time, with historical July climatology showing average highs near 90°F and a standard deviation of roughly 4–6°F. New model cycles and local observations over the next 24 hours will narrow the remaining uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,664End Date
Jul 21, 2026Market Opened
Jul 19, 2026, 9:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders price Denver's July 21 high most heavily in the 90–95°F range because the latest National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus projects a typical midsummer pattern with surface highs near 92°F under partly sunny skies. Differentiating outcomes hinge on afternoon convective cloud cover and any weak frontal passage that could suppress peak temperatures versus stronger insolation and downslope warming that would push readings into the mid-90s. Ensemble spread remains modest at this short lead time, with historical July climatology showing average highs near 90°F and a standard deviation of roughly 4–6°F. New model cycles and local observations over the next 24 hours will narrow the remaining uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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