Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas on July 20 points to a daily high near 100–102 °F under typical late-July conditions of high pressure, light winds, and abundant July sunshine. These values align with the historical climatological range for the date, where Dallas-Fort Worth averages roughly 98–101 °F, modulated by the urban heat island effect and soil moisture from recent rainfall. Ensemble spread remains modest, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 100–101 °F bin, while modest upside risk from any westward ridge strengthening keeps the 102–103 °F tier as the next most probable outcome. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution against the KDFW observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on July 20?
Highest temperature in Dallas on July 20?
100-101°F 52%
102-103°F 27%
98-99°F 18%
104-105°F 6%
NEW
$19,398 Vol.
NEW
$19,398 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
18%
100-101°F
52%
102-103°F
27%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 52%
102-103°F 27%
98-99°F 18%
104-105°F 6%
NEW
$19,398 Vol.
NEW
$19,398 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
95°F or below
$1,082 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,496 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$3,632 Vol.
18%
100-101°F
$7,557 Vol.
52%
102-103°F
$1,408 Vol.
27%
104-105°F
$762 Vol.
6%
106-107°F
$1,245 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$912 Vol.
1%
110-111°F
$460 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$539 Vol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$305 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas on July 20 points to a daily high near 100–102 °F under typical late-July conditions of high pressure, light winds, and abundant July sunshine. These values align with the historical climatological range for the date, where Dallas-Fort Worth averages roughly 98–101 °F, modulated by the urban heat island effect and soil moisture from recent rainfall. Ensemble spread remains modest, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 100–101 °F bin, while modest upside risk from any westward ridge strengthening keeps the 102–103 °F tier as the next most probable outcome. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution against the KDFW observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$19,398End Date
Jul 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas on July 20 points to a daily high near 100–102 °F under typical late-July conditions of high pressure, light winds, and abundant July sunshine. These values align with the historical climatological range for the date, where Dallas-Fort Worth averages roughly 98–101 °F, modulated by the urban heat island effect and soil moisture from recent rainfall. Ensemble spread remains modest, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 100–101 °F bin, while modest upside risk from any westward ridge strengthening keeps the 102–103 °F tier as the next most probable outcome. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution against the KDFW observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,398End Date
Jul 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas on July 20 points to a daily high near 100–102 °F under typical late-July conditions of high pressure, light winds, and abundant July sunshine. These values align with the historical climatological range for the date, where Dallas-Fort Worth averages roughly 98–101 °F, modulated by the urban heat island effect and soil moisture from recent rainfall. Ensemble spread remains modest, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 100–101 °F bin, while modest upside risk from any westward ridge strengthening keeps the 102–103 °F tier as the next most probable outcome. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution against the KDFW observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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