Skip to main content
icon for Highest temperature in Seattle on July 21?

Highest temperature in Seattle on July 21?

icon for Highest temperature in Seattle on July 21?

Highest temperature in Seattle on July 21?

92-93°F 36%

90-91°F 35%

88-89°F 17%

86-87°F 8%

Polymarket
NEW

$10,237 Vol.

92-93°F 36%

90-91°F 35%

88-89°F 17%

86-87°F 8%

Polymarket
NEW

$10,237 Vol.

81°F or below

$1,762 Vol.

<1%

82-83°F

$731 Vol.

1%

84-85°F

$1,024 Vol.

3%

86-87°F

$1,017 Vol.

8%

88-89°F

$636 Vol.

17%

90-91°F

$1,079 Vol.

35%

92-93°F

$2,070 Vol.

36%

94-95°F

$190 Vol.

4%

96-97°F

$1,268 Vol.

1%

98-99°F

$226 Vol.

<1%

100°F or higher

$234 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seattle’s forecast shows a building high-pressure ridge and weakening marine influence driving a warming trend into July 21, with the National Weather Service issuing a heat advisory as temperatures climb from the mid-70s toward the upper 80s or low 90s. Model consensus points to mostly cloudy skies limiting full solar heating, yet reduced onshore flow and urban heat-island effects at Sea-Tac could push afternoon maxima into the 88–93 °F range. Subtle differences among leading brackets hinge on exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and small spreads between GFS and ECMWF runs; stronger marine push would cap readings near 88–89 °F while clearer conditions favor 90–93 °F. Recent days of above-average warmth have kept trader focus on these narrow thresholds rather than cooler or extreme outcomes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,237
End Date
Jul 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 19, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seattle’s forecast shows a building high-pressure ridge and weakening marine influence driving a warming trend into July 21, with the National Weather Service issuing a heat advisory as temperatures climb from the mid-70s toward the upper 80s or low 90s. Model consensus points to mostly cloudy skies limiting full solar heating, yet reduced onshore flow and urban heat-island effects at Sea-Tac could push afternoon maxima into the 88–93 °F range. Subtle differences among leading brackets hinge on exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and small spreads between GFS and ECMWF runs; stronger marine push would cap readings near 88–89 °F while clearer conditions favor 90–93 °F. Recent days of above-average warmth have kept trader focus on these narrow thresholds rather than cooler or extreme outcomes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,237
End Date
Jul 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 19, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Seattle on July 21?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "92-93°F" at 36%, followed by "90-91°F" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Seattle on July 21?" has generated $10.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Seattle on July 21?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Seattle on July 21?" is "92-93°F" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "90-91°F" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Seattle on July 21?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.