Coastal Qingdao’s marine boundary layer and East Asian monsoon flow keep daytime maxima tightly clustered near 29–31 °C in late July, with the current 2–3 °C spread reflecting small differences in model timing of cloud cover, sea-breeze onset, and any weak frontal moisture. Recent National Climate Center guidance notes above-average typhoon formation and an emerging El Niño pattern that favors slightly warmer, more humid air masses over the Yellow Sea, yet local forecasts still show frequent stratiform cloud and light rain that cap insolation. Ensemble spread in 48-hour runs therefore centers on whether peak solar heating occurs under brief clear slots or is suppressed by lingering marine stratus, producing the closely matched market probabilities around 29–31 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 22?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 22?
30°C 31%
29°C 26%
31°C 21%
28°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Jul 22, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
17%
29°C
26%
30°C
31%
31°C
21%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 31%
29°C 26%
31°C 21%
28°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Jul 22, 2026
23°C or below
$128 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$53 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$79 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$298 Vol.
1%
27°C
$459 Vol.
5%
28°C
$979 Vol.
17%
29°C
$147 Vol.
26%
30°C
$870 Vol.
31%
31°C
$446 Vol.
21%
32°C
$113 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$95 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Coastal Qingdao’s marine boundary layer and East Asian monsoon flow keep daytime maxima tightly clustered near 29–31 °C in late July, with the current 2–3 °C spread reflecting small differences in model timing of cloud cover, sea-breeze onset, and any weak frontal moisture. Recent National Climate Center guidance notes above-average typhoon formation and an emerging El Niño pattern that favors slightly warmer, more humid air masses over the Yellow Sea, yet local forecasts still show frequent stratiform cloud and light rain that cap insolation. Ensemble spread in 48-hour runs therefore centers on whether peak solar heating occurs under brief clear slots or is suppressed by lingering marine stratus, producing the closely matched market probabilities around 29–31 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$3,666End Date
Jul 22, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Coastal Qingdao’s marine boundary layer and East Asian monsoon flow keep daytime maxima tightly clustered near 29–31 °C in late July, with the current 2–3 °C spread reflecting small differences in model timing of cloud cover, sea-breeze onset, and any weak frontal moisture. Recent National Climate Center guidance notes above-average typhoon formation and an emerging El Niño pattern that favors slightly warmer, more humid air masses over the Yellow Sea, yet local forecasts still show frequent stratiform cloud and light rain that cap insolation. Ensemble spread in 48-hour runs therefore centers on whether peak solar heating occurs under brief clear slots or is suppressed by lingering marine stratus, producing the closely matched market probabilities around 29–31 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,666End Date
Jul 22, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Coastal Qingdao’s marine boundary layer and East Asian monsoon flow keep daytime maxima tightly clustered near 29–31 °C in late July, with the current 2–3 °C spread reflecting small differences in model timing of cloud cover, sea-breeze onset, and any weak frontal moisture. Recent National Climate Center guidance notes above-average typhoon formation and an emerging El Niño pattern that favors slightly warmer, more humid air masses over the Yellow Sea, yet local forecasts still show frequent stratiform cloud and light rain that cap insolation. Ensemble spread in 48-hour runs therefore centers on whether peak solar heating occurs under brief clear slots or is suppressed by lingering marine stratus, producing the closely matched market probabilities around 29–31 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions