Recent forecast model runs for Wuhan on July 27 show tight clustering around 31–33 °C maxima, reflecting modest consensus amid variable steering flows and moisture from lingering Central China patterns after earlier July rainfall events. Key differentiators include the precise position of the subtropical high, afternoon convective development that can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C, and boundary-layer humidity modulating sensible heat. Ensemble spreads in global models (GFS, ECMWF) remain 2–3 °C wide this far ahead, with urban heat-island amplification and local wind shifts adding further uncertainty. Historical July extremes in Wuhan often exceed 35 °C under clear, subsiding conditions, yet current guidance favors modest suppression from scattered thundershowers. Updated model cycles and regional observations over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these closely matched outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 27?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 27?
32°C 30%
31°C 21%
33°C 20%
30°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Jul 27, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
14%
30°C
16%
31°C
21%
32°C
24%
33°C
24%
34°C
13%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
3%
32°C 30%
31°C 21%
33°C 20%
30°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Jul 27, 2026
26°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$65 Vol.
7%
29°C
$66 Vol.
14%
30°C
$0 Vol.
16%
31°C
$0 Vol.
21%
32°C
$8 Vol.
24%
33°C
$75 Vol.
24%
34°C
$0 Vol.
13%
35°C
$0 Vol.
5%
36°C or higher
$9 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Wuhan on July 27 show tight clustering around 31–33 °C maxima, reflecting modest consensus amid variable steering flows and moisture from lingering Central China patterns after earlier July rainfall events. Key differentiators include the precise position of the subtropical high, afternoon convective development that can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C, and boundary-layer humidity modulating sensible heat. Ensemble spreads in global models (GFS, ECMWF) remain 2–3 °C wide this far ahead, with urban heat-island amplification and local wind shifts adding further uncertainty. Historical July extremes in Wuhan often exceed 35 °C under clear, subsiding conditions, yet current guidance favors modest suppression from scattered thundershowers. Updated model cycles and regional observations over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$137End Date
Jul 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Wuhan on July 27 show tight clustering around 31–33 °C maxima, reflecting modest consensus amid variable steering flows and moisture from lingering Central China patterns after earlier July rainfall events. Key differentiators include the precise position of the subtropical high, afternoon convective development that can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C, and boundary-layer humidity modulating sensible heat. Ensemble spreads in global models (GFS, ECMWF) remain 2–3 °C wide this far ahead, with urban heat-island amplification and local wind shifts adding further uncertainty. Historical July extremes in Wuhan often exceed 35 °C under clear, subsiding conditions, yet current guidance favors modest suppression from scattered thundershowers. Updated model cycles and regional observations over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$137End Date
Jul 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs for Wuhan on July 27 show tight clustering around 31–33 °C maxima, reflecting modest consensus amid variable steering flows and moisture from lingering Central China patterns after earlier July rainfall events. Key differentiators include the precise position of the subtropical high, afternoon convective development that can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C, and boundary-layer humidity modulating sensible heat. Ensemble spreads in global models (GFS, ECMWF) remain 2–3 °C wide this far ahead, with urban heat-island amplification and local wind shifts adding further uncertainty. Historical July extremes in Wuhan often exceed 35 °C under clear, subsiding conditions, yet current guidance favors modest suppression from scattered thundershowers. Updated model cycles and regional observations over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these closely matched outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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