Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show a transitional pattern over central China, with a weakening subtropical ridge allowing increased moisture and scattered convection on July 29 that could suppress peak heating. This produces a tight clustering of predicted daily maxima near 31–33°C, with small differences in timing or coverage of showers determining whether the observed high reaches the upper or lower end of that range. Historical July climatology for Wuhan places average highs near 32–34°C, while current soil moisture and low-level humidity add uncertainty to boundary-layer mixing. Traders are weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z runs from ECMWF and GFS alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the next major model cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 29?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 29?
33°C 24%
31°C 23%
32°C 22%
30°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Jul 29, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
12%
30°C
15%
31°C
23%
32°C
22%
33°C
24%
34°C
13%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 24%
31°C 23%
32°C 22%
30°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Jul 29, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C
$0 Vol.
15%
31°C
$0 Vol.
23%
32°C
$26 Vol.
22%
33°C
$38 Vol.
24%
34°C
$24 Vol.
13%
35°C
$5 Vol.
5%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show a transitional pattern over central China, with a weakening subtropical ridge allowing increased moisture and scattered convection on July 29 that could suppress peak heating. This produces a tight clustering of predicted daily maxima near 31–33°C, with small differences in timing or coverage of showers determining whether the observed high reaches the upper or lower end of that range. Historical July climatology for Wuhan places average highs near 32–34°C, while current soil moisture and low-level humidity add uncertainty to boundary-layer mixing. Traders are weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z runs from ECMWF and GFS alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the next major model cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 27, 2026, 4:05 AM ET
Volume
$104End Date
Jul 29, 2026Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 4:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show a transitional pattern over central China, with a weakening subtropical ridge allowing increased moisture and scattered convection on July 29 that could suppress peak heating. This produces a tight clustering of predicted daily maxima near 31–33°C, with small differences in timing or coverage of showers determining whether the observed high reaches the upper or lower end of that range. Historical July climatology for Wuhan places average highs near 32–34°C, while current soil moisture and low-level humidity add uncertainty to boundary-layer mixing. Traders are weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z runs from ECMWF and GFS alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the next major model cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$104End Date
Jul 29, 2026Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 4:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show a transitional pattern over central China, with a weakening subtropical ridge allowing increased moisture and scattered convection on July 29 that could suppress peak heating. This produces a tight clustering of predicted daily maxima near 31–33°C, with small differences in timing or coverage of showers determining whether the observed high reaches the upper or lower end of that range. Historical July climatology for Wuhan places average highs near 32–34°C, while current soil moisture and low-level humidity add uncertainty to boundary-layer mixing. Traders are weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z runs from ECMWF and GFS alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the next major model cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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