Recent forecasts for Cape Town point to a typical mid-July high near the 16–18°C range, aligning with the market's tight clustering around these outcomes and the region's Mediterranean winter climate moderated by the cold Benguela Current. Historical July averages near 17°C, with daily maxima rarely exceeding 21°C, provide the baseline, while recent cool conditions including morning fog and weak cold fronts have kept highs near or below normal. Key differentiating factors include Atlantic high-pressure positioning that can suppress or enhance warming, variable cloud cover affecting solar heating, and light winds that limit mixing; stronger offshore flow or clearer skies could push toward 18–19°C, whereas persistent marine influence favors 16°C or lower. Updated ECMWF and SAWS model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum temperature observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on July 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 15?
18°C 39%
17°C 29%
19°C 15%
16°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Jul 15, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
11%
17°C
29%
18°C
39%
19°C
15%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 39%
17°C 29%
19°C 15%
16°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Jul 15, 2026
12°C or below
$526 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$251 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$353 Vol.
1%
15°C
$393 Vol.
2%
16°C
$547 Vol.
11%
17°C
$306 Vol.
29%
18°C
$307 Vol.
39%
19°C
$1,089 Vol.
15%
20°C
$318 Vol.
4%
21°C
$39 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Cape Town point to a typical mid-July high near the 16–18°C range, aligning with the market's tight clustering around these outcomes and the region's Mediterranean winter climate moderated by the cold Benguela Current. Historical July averages near 17°C, with daily maxima rarely exceeding 21°C, provide the baseline, while recent cool conditions including morning fog and weak cold fronts have kept highs near or below normal. Key differentiating factors include Atlantic high-pressure positioning that can suppress or enhance warming, variable cloud cover affecting solar heating, and light winds that limit mixing; stronger offshore flow or clearer skies could push toward 18–19°C, whereas persistent marine influence favors 16°C or lower. Updated ECMWF and SAWS model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum temperature observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 13, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$4,258End Date
Jul 15, 2026Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Cape Town point to a typical mid-July high near the 16–18°C range, aligning with the market's tight clustering around these outcomes and the region's Mediterranean winter climate moderated by the cold Benguela Current. Historical July averages near 17°C, with daily maxima rarely exceeding 21°C, provide the baseline, while recent cool conditions including morning fog and weak cold fronts have kept highs near or below normal. Key differentiating factors include Atlantic high-pressure positioning that can suppress or enhance warming, variable cloud cover affecting solar heating, and light winds that limit mixing; stronger offshore flow or clearer skies could push toward 18–19°C, whereas persistent marine influence favors 16°C or lower. Updated ECMWF and SAWS model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum temperature observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,258End Date
Jul 15, 2026Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Cape Town point to a typical mid-July high near the 16–18°C range, aligning with the market's tight clustering around these outcomes and the region's Mediterranean winter climate moderated by the cold Benguela Current. Historical July averages near 17°C, with daily maxima rarely exceeding 21°C, provide the baseline, while recent cool conditions including morning fog and weak cold fronts have kept highs near or below normal. Key differentiating factors include Atlantic high-pressure positioning that can suppress or enhance warming, variable cloud cover affecting solar heating, and light winds that limit mixing; stronger offshore flow or clearer skies could push toward 18–19°C, whereas persistent marine influence favors 16°C or lower. Updated ECMWF and SAWS model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum temperature observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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