Forecast consensus from multiple models points to persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the early Huaxi autumn rain pattern, which has advected cooler, moist air into the Sichuan Basin and is limiting daytime insolation. This setup favors a daily high near 25–26 °C, with light northeast winds and high humidity further suppressing temperature rise while preventing a drop below 24 °C. Recent observational trends show the cooling trend accelerating after September 26, aligning trader-implied probabilities tightly around those two outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will clarify any last adjustments before resolution.