Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Dallas high of 100–103°F on July 28 under strong high pressure and southwesterly flow, keeping skies mostly sunny with dew points in the low 70s. This setup favors the market’s tight clustering around the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins, while limiting upside risk of 104°F+ unless afternoon mixing strengthens more than currently projected. Historical July climatology shows similar ridge-dominated days averaging near 102°F, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak sea-breeze return can shift the peak by 2–3°F. Updated model runs and the afternoon NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on July 28?
Highest temperature in Dallas on July 28?
100-101°F 37%
102-103°F 33%
98-99°F 18%
104-105°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Jul 28, 2026
95°F or below
3%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
18%
100-101°F
37%
102-103°F
33%
104-105°F
11%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
2%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 37%
102-103°F 33%
98-99°F 18%
104-105°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Jul 28, 2026
95°F or below
$40 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$52 Vol.
4%
98-99°F
$146 Vol.
18%
100-101°F
$219 Vol.
37%
102-103°F
$57 Vol.
33%
104-105°F
$76 Vol.
11%
106-107°F
$28 Vol.
4%
108-109°F
$37 Vol.
2%
110-111°F
$5 Vol.
2%
112-113°F
$226 Vol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$241 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Dallas high of 100–103°F on July 28 under strong high pressure and southwesterly flow, keeping skies mostly sunny with dew points in the low 70s. This setup favors the market’s tight clustering around the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins, while limiting upside risk of 104°F+ unless afternoon mixing strengthens more than currently projected. Historical July climatology shows similar ridge-dominated days averaging near 102°F, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak sea-breeze return can shift the peak by 2–3°F. Updated model runs and the afternoon NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,128End Date
Jul 28, 2026Market Opened
Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Dallas high of 100–103°F on July 28 under strong high pressure and southwesterly flow, keeping skies mostly sunny with dew points in the low 70s. This setup favors the market’s tight clustering around the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins, while limiting upside risk of 104°F+ unless afternoon mixing strengthens more than currently projected. Historical July climatology shows similar ridge-dominated days averaging near 102°F, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak sea-breeze return can shift the peak by 2–3°F. Updated model runs and the afternoon NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,128End Date
Jul 28, 2026Market Opened
Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Dallas high of 100–103°F on July 28 under strong high pressure and southwesterly flow, keeping skies mostly sunny with dew points in the low 70s. This setup favors the market’s tight clustering around the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins, while limiting upside risk of 104°F+ unless afternoon mixing strengthens more than currently projected. Historical July climatology shows similar ridge-dominated days averaging near 102°F, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak sea-breeze return can shift the peak by 2–3°F. Updated model runs and the afternoon NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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