Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature in New York City on July 28 likely falling in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, with the spread reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing. July climatology for Central Park shows average daily highs near 84 °F, but a passing weak frontal boundary and higher dew points are expected to limit full insolation and cap peak readings. Model consensus clusters around 78–81 °F, while slight differences in simulated convective initiation or sea-breeze timing create the narrow probability bands traders are pricing. Updated short-range forecasts and hourly observations tomorrow morning will further refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on July 28?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 28?
78-79°F 37%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 19%
74-75°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Jul 28, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 37%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 19%
74-75°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Jul 28, 2026
69°F or below
$140 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$41 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$101 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$92 Vol.
9%
76-77°F
$202 Vol.
27%
78-79°F
$1,068 Vol.
37%
80-81°F
$66 Vol.
19%
82-83°F
$16 Vol.
9%
84-85°F
$56 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
1%
88°F or higher
$278 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature in New York City on July 28 likely falling in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, with the spread reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing. July climatology for Central Park shows average daily highs near 84 °F, but a passing weak frontal boundary and higher dew points are expected to limit full insolation and cap peak readings. Model consensus clusters around 78–81 °F, while slight differences in simulated convective initiation or sea-breeze timing create the narrow probability bands traders are pricing. Updated short-range forecasts and hourly observations tomorrow morning will further refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,065End Date
Jul 28, 2026Market Opened
Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature in New York City on July 28 likely falling in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, with the spread reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing. July climatology for Central Park shows average daily highs near 84 °F, but a passing weak frontal boundary and higher dew points are expected to limit full insolation and cap peak readings. Model consensus clusters around 78–81 °F, while slight differences in simulated convective initiation or sea-breeze timing create the narrow probability bands traders are pricing. Updated short-range forecasts and hourly observations tomorrow morning will further refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,065End Date
Jul 28, 2026Market Opened
Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature in New York City on July 28 likely falling in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, with the spread reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing. July climatology for Central Park shows average daily highs near 84 °F, but a passing weak frontal boundary and higher dew points are expected to limit full insolation and cap peak readings. Model consensus clusters around 78–81 °F, while slight differences in simulated convective initiation or sea-breeze timing create the narrow probability bands traders are pricing. Updated short-range forecasts and hourly observations tomorrow morning will further refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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