Traders assign the highest probabilities to a June 18 peak of 34°C or 35°C in Karachi because short-range forecast models from regional meteorological centers indicate a typical pre-monsoon maximum near these values, driven by strong daytime insolation, light variable winds, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. The narrow spread among 33–35°C outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing and strength of the afternoon sea breeze from the Arabian Sea, which can shave 1–2°C off the daily high depending on its onset, alongside minor model differences in cloud cover and any isolated showers. Current conditions show temperatures already climbing toward seasonal normals of 33–34°C, with limited precipitation expected to keep the outcome tightly clustered unless an earlier monsoon surge develops.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Karachi on June 18?
34°C 39%
35°C 33%
33°C 20%
36°C 9%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
20%
34°C
39%
35°C
33%
36°C
9%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 39%
35°C 33%
33°C 20%
36°C 9%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
20%
34°C
39%
35°C
33%
36°C
9%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders assign the highest probabilities to a June 18 peak of 34°C or 35°C in Karachi because short-range forecast models from regional meteorological centers indicate a typical pre-monsoon maximum near these values, driven by strong daytime insolation, light variable winds, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. The narrow spread among 33–35°C outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing and strength of the afternoon sea breeze from the Arabian Sea, which can shave 1–2°C off the daily high depending on its onset, alongside minor model differences in cloud cover and any isolated showers. Current conditions show temperatures already climbing toward seasonal normals of 33–34°C, with limited precipitation expected to keep the outcome tightly clustered unless an earlier monsoon surge develops.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions