Wellington’s mid-June maximum temperatures hinge on short-range model consensus from MetService and international guidance, with the market pricing 14–15°C as the leading outcomes due to a transitional synoptic pattern. Northerly or northwesterly flow over the Cook Strait can advect milder air and reduce mixing, supporting peaks near 15°C, while any strengthening southerly change or increased cloud cover would cap readings at 14°C or below. Recent early-June warmth, including record highs above 19°C, has given way to a near-average regime per NIWA’s seasonal outlook, but day-to-day variability from frontal timing and wind gusts keeps adjacent bins tightly contested. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will drive the sharpest repricing ahead of official resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月17日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
6月17日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
15°C 39%
14°C 33%
16°C 14%
13°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-06-17
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
6%
14°C
33%
15°C
39%
16°C
14%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C或更高
1%
15°C 39%
14°C 33%
16°C 14%
13°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-06-17
9°C或以下
$5 交易量
<1%
10°C
$15 交易量
1%
11°C
$0 交易量
2%
12°C
$0 交易量
3%
13°C
$14 交易量
6%
14°C
$44 交易量
33%
15°C
$147 交易量
39%
16°C
$56 交易量
14%
17°C
$0 交易量
5%
18°C
$0 交易量
2%
19°C或更高
$15 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington’s mid-June maximum temperatures hinge on short-range model consensus from MetService and international guidance, with the market pricing 14–15°C as the leading outcomes due to a transitional synoptic pattern. Northerly or northwesterly flow over the Cook Strait can advect milder air and reduce mixing, supporting peaks near 15°C, while any strengthening southerly change or increased cloud cover would cap readings at 14°C or below. Recent early-June warmth, including record highs above 19°C, has given way to a near-average regime per NIWA’s seasonal outlook, but day-to-day variability from frontal timing and wind gusts keeps adjacent bins tightly contested. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will drive the sharpest repricing ahead of official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$97結束日期
2026-06-17市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington’s mid-June maximum temperatures hinge on short-range model consensus from MetService and international guidance, with the market pricing 14–15°C as the leading outcomes due to a transitional synoptic pattern. Northerly or northwesterly flow over the Cook Strait can advect milder air and reduce mixing, supporting peaks near 15°C, while any strengthening southerly change or increased cloud cover would cap readings at 14°C or below. Recent early-June warmth, including record highs above 19°C, has given way to a near-average regime per NIWA’s seasonal outlook, but day-to-day variability from frontal timing and wind gusts keeps adjacent bins tightly contested. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will drive the sharpest repricing ahead of official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$97結束日期
2026-06-17市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETWellington’s mid-June maximum temperatures hinge on short-range model consensus from MetService and international guidance, with the market pricing 14–15°C as the leading outcomes due to a transitional synoptic pattern. Northerly or northwesterly flow over the Cook Strait can advect milder air and reduce mixing, supporting peaks near 15°C, while any strengthening southerly change or increased cloud cover would cap readings at 14°C or below. Recent early-June warmth, including record highs above 19°C, has given way to a near-average regime per NIWA’s seasonal outlook, but day-to-day variability from frontal timing and wind gusts keeps adjacent bins tightly contested. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will drive the sharpest repricing ahead of official resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions