Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a largely settled high-pressure regime over southern England through mid-June, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting overnight minima around 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and UKMO show modest variability in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing for the 16–17 June period, producing a tight clustering of forecast minima near 16–18°C that aligns with the market’s leading probabilities. Historical June climatology places typical London lows near 12°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal warmth tied to the post-May heat anomaly and suppressed Atlantic flow. Updated model cycles on 16 June will refine cloud and wind details ahead of the 17th’s resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月17日倫敦的最低溫度?
17°C 43%
16°C 39%
18°C 20%
20°C 6%
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
5%
15°C
3%
16°C
39%
17°C
43%
18°C
20%
19°C
6%
20°C
6%
21°C
1%
22°C或以上
<1%
17°C 43%
16°C 39%
18°C 20%
20°C 6%
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
5%
15°C
3%
16°C
39%
17°C
43%
18°C
20%
19°C
6%
20°C
6%
21°C
1%
22°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a largely settled high-pressure regime over southern England through mid-June, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting overnight minima around 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and UKMO show modest variability in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing for the 16–17 June period, producing a tight clustering of forecast minima near 16–18°C that aligns with the market’s leading probabilities. Historical June climatology places typical London lows near 12°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal warmth tied to the post-May heat anomaly and suppressed Atlantic flow. Updated model cycles on 16 June will refine cloud and wind details ahead of the 17th’s resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions