**Trader consensus for Singapore's highest temperature on June 15, 2026, centers on 30–32°C (combined ~97% implied probability), with 31°C the narrow leader at 45.5%.** This reflects the typical June climatological average high of ~31°C (per long-term records from MSS and AccuWeather) tempered by short-term variability. Recent developments reinforce this range. Early June 2026 saw peaks reaching 35.1°C on June 6 and 34.5°C on June 14, driven by the onset of the southwest monsoon and emerging El Niño conditions (forecast by MSS to develop in June–July and favor warmer, drier weather through October). Subseasonal outlooks from MSS and ASMC issued in early June indicate above-normal temperatures across the western Maritime Continent for the 8–21 June period, supporting elevated odds for the upper end of the distribution. Key scientific factors include persistent high humidity, limited cloud cover on drier days allowing greater solar heating, and steering patterns that can suppress afternoon thundery showers. Official forecasts for June 15 specifically cluster around 29–31°C daytime maxima, consistent with model guidance showing only modest day-to-day fluctuations. The tight clustering of market prices around 30–32°C captures both the strong baseline expectation and the realistic potential for modest positive or negative deviations due to local convective activity or slight forecast shifts. New 24-hour updates from MSS or NHC-analog regional models will likely drive any late adjustments before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Singapore on June 15?
Highest temperature in Singapore on June 15?
31°C 46%
30°C 28%
32°C 25%
29°C 3.3%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
28%
31°C
46%
32°C
25%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 46%
30°C 28%
32°C 25%
29°C 3.3%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
25°C或以下
$249 交易量
<1%
26°C
$153 交易量
<1%
27°C
$591 交易量
<1%
28°C
$492 交易量
<1%
29°C
$814 交易量
3%
30°C
$981 交易量
28%
31°C
$819 交易量
46%
32°C
$766 交易量
25%
33°C
$1,437 交易量
3%
34°C
$1,144 交易量
1%
35°C or higher
$95 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for Singapore's highest temperature on June 15, 2026, centers on 30–32°C (combined ~97% implied probability), with 31°C the narrow leader at 45.5%.** This reflects the typical June climatological average high of ~31°C (per long-term records from MSS and AccuWeather) tempered by short-term variability.
Recent developments reinforce this range. Early June 2026 saw peaks reaching 35.1°C on June 6 and 34.5°C on June 14, driven by the onset of the southwest monsoon and emerging El Niño conditions (forecast by MSS to develop in June–July and favor warmer, drier weather through October). Subseasonal outlooks from MSS and ASMC issued in early June indicate above-normal temperatures across the western Maritime Continent for the 8–21 June period, supporting elevated odds for the upper end of the distribution.
Key scientific factors include persistent high humidity, limited cloud cover on drier days allowing greater solar heating, and steering patterns that can suppress afternoon thundery showers. Official forecasts for June 15 specifically cluster around 29–31°C daytime maxima, consistent with model guidance showing only modest day-to-day fluctuations. The tight clustering of market prices around 30–32°C captures both the strong baseline expectation and the realistic potential for modest positive or negative deviations due to local convective activity or slight forecast shifts. New 24-hour updates from MSS or NHC-analog regional models will likely drive any late adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$7,536結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for Singapore's highest temperature on June 15, 2026, centers on 30–32°C (combined ~97% implied probability), with 31°C the narrow leader at 45.5%.** This reflects the typical June climatological average high of ~31°C (per long-term records from MSS and AccuWeather) tempered by short-term variability.
Recent developments reinforce this range. Early June 2026 saw peaks reaching 35.1°C on June 6 and 34.5°C on June 14, driven by the onset of the southwest monsoon and emerging El Niño conditions (forecast by MSS to develop in June–July and favor warmer, drier weather through October). Subseasonal outlooks from MSS and ASMC issued in early June indicate above-normal temperatures across the western Maritime Continent for the 8–21 June period, supporting elevated odds for the upper end of the distribution.
Key scientific factors include persistent high humidity, limited cloud cover on drier days allowing greater solar heating, and steering patterns that can suppress afternoon thundery showers. Official forecasts for June 15 specifically cluster around 29–31°C daytime maxima, consistent with model guidance showing only modest day-to-day fluctuations. The tight clustering of market prices around 30–32°C captures both the strong baseline expectation and the realistic potential for modest positive or negative deviations due to local convective activity or slight forecast shifts. New 24-hour updates from MSS or NHC-analog regional models will likely drive any late adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,536結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET**Trader consensus for Singapore's highest temperature on June 15, 2026, centers on 30–32°C (combined ~97% implied probability), with 31°C the narrow leader at 45.5%.** This reflects the typical June climatological average high of ~31°C (per long-term records from MSS and AccuWeather) tempered by short-term variability. Recent developments reinforce this range. Early June 2026 saw peaks reaching 35.1°C on June 6 and 34.5°C on June 14, driven by the onset of the southwest monsoon and emerging El Niño conditions (forecast by MSS to develop in June–July and favor warmer, drier weather through October). Subseasonal outlooks from MSS and ASMC issued in early June indicate above-normal temperatures across the western Maritime Continent for the 8–21 June period, supporting elevated odds for the upper end of the distribution. Key scientific factors include persistent high humidity, limited cloud cover on drier days allowing greater solar heating, and steering patterns that can suppress afternoon thundery showers. Official forecasts for June 15 specifically cluster around 29–31°C daytime maxima, consistent with model guidance showing only modest day-to-day fluctuations. The tight clustering of market prices around 30–32°C captures both the strong baseline expectation and the realistic potential for modest positive or negative deviations due to local convective activity or slight forecast shifts. New 24-hour updates from MSS or NHC-analog regional models will likely drive any late adjustments before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions