Recent meteorological model consensus, including guidance from Chinese forecasting agencies, points to a Beijing high of 31–32°C on June 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, anchoring trader sentiment with 32°C at 34% and 31°C at 28% implied probability. Day-to-day variability in cloud thickness, any overnight showers that enhance boundary-layer mixing, and minor shifts in steering patterns sustain the narrow spread between these leading outcomes. Historical June baselines near 30°C provide context, yet ensemble uncertainty ahead of official station verification by the China Meteorological Administration keeps lower and higher thresholds in play for active traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on June 17?
32°C 34%
31°C 29%
30°C 16%
29°C 9%
28°C or below
8%
29°C
9%
30°C
16%
31°C
29%
32°C
34%
33°C
7%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 34%
31°C 29%
30°C 16%
29°C 9%
28°C or below
8%
29°C
9%
30°C
16%
31°C
29%
32°C
34%
33°C
7%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological model consensus, including guidance from Chinese forecasting agencies, points to a Beijing high of 31–32°C on June 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, anchoring trader sentiment with 32°C at 34% and 31°C at 28% implied probability. Day-to-day variability in cloud thickness, any overnight showers that enhance boundary-layer mixing, and minor shifts in steering patterns sustain the narrow spread between these leading outcomes. Historical June baselines near 30°C provide context, yet ensemble uncertainty ahead of official station verification by the China Meteorological Administration keeps lower and higher thresholds in play for active traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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