**Recent short-range forecasts for Busan on June 15, 2026, indicate a mostly sunny day with a daytime high near 26°C (79°F), consistent with early-summer climatology for the coastal city.** Sea breezes and moderate humidity from the East Sea typically cap maximum temperatures a few degrees below inland areas, aligning with the market’s concentration of probability on 27–29°C outcomes. National and global models (including those referenced by the Korea Meteorological Administration) show stable high-pressure influence supporting gradual daytime warming without strong advection of hotter air masses, while the pre-monsoon pattern keeps cloud cover limited. Historical June averages for Busan cluster around 24–26°C highs, with mid-month values rising modestly; current guidance places June 15 slightly above the monthly mean but well below peak-summer thresholds. This consensus, combined with low precipitation chances and light winds, underpins the leading implied probabilities at 28°C (43.5%) and 27°C (28.5%), with modest tail risk priced for 29–30°C if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final 24 hours before resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月15日釜山的最高溫度？
6月15日釜山的最高溫度？
28°C 48%
27°C 26%
29°C 20%
30°C 7.4%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
26%
28°C
48%
29°C
20%
30°C
7%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
28°C 48%
27°C 26%
29°C 20%
30°C 7.4%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
24°C或以下
$1,111 交易量
1%
25°C
$914 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,395 交易量
1%
27°C
$573 交易量
26%
28°C
$853 交易量
48%
29°C
$1,041 交易量
20%
30°C
$534 交易量
7%
31°C
$773 交易量
2%
32°C
$927 交易量
<1%
33°C
$702 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$290 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent short-range forecasts for Busan on June 15, 2026, indicate a mostly sunny day with a daytime high near 26°C (79°F), consistent with early-summer climatology for the coastal city.** Sea breezes and moderate humidity from the East Sea typically cap maximum temperatures a few degrees below inland areas, aligning with the market’s concentration of probability on 27–29°C outcomes.
National and global models (including those referenced by the Korea Meteorological Administration) show stable high-pressure influence supporting gradual daytime warming without strong advection of hotter air masses, while the pre-monsoon pattern keeps cloud cover limited. Historical June averages for Busan cluster around 24–26°C highs, with mid-month values rising modestly; current guidance places June 15 slightly above the monthly mean but well below peak-summer thresholds.
This consensus, combined with low precipitation chances and light winds, underpins the leading implied probabilities at 28°C (43.5%) and 27°C (28.5%), with modest tail risk priced for 29–30°C if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final 24 hours before resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$9,017結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent short-range forecasts for Busan on June 15, 2026, indicate a mostly sunny day with a daytime high near 26°C (79°F), consistent with early-summer climatology for the coastal city.** Sea breezes and moderate humidity from the East Sea typically cap maximum temperatures a few degrees below inland areas, aligning with the market’s concentration of probability on 27–29°C outcomes.
National and global models (including those referenced by the Korea Meteorological Administration) show stable high-pressure influence supporting gradual daytime warming without strong advection of hotter air masses, while the pre-monsoon pattern keeps cloud cover limited. Historical June averages for Busan cluster around 24–26°C highs, with mid-month values rising modestly; current guidance places June 15 slightly above the monthly mean but well below peak-summer thresholds.
This consensus, combined with low precipitation chances and light winds, underpins the leading implied probabilities at 28°C (43.5%) and 27°C (28.5%), with modest tail risk priced for 29–30°C if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final 24 hours before resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,017結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET**Recent short-range forecasts for Busan on June 15, 2026, indicate a mostly sunny day with a daytime high near 26°C (79°F), consistent with early-summer climatology for the coastal city.** Sea breezes and moderate humidity from the East Sea typically cap maximum temperatures a few degrees below inland areas, aligning with the market’s concentration of probability on 27–29°C outcomes. National and global models (including those referenced by the Korea Meteorological Administration) show stable high-pressure influence supporting gradual daytime warming without strong advection of hotter air masses, while the pre-monsoon pattern keeps cloud cover limited. Historical June averages for Busan cluster around 24–26°C highs, with mid-month values rising modestly; current guidance places June 15 slightly above the monthly mean but well below peak-summer thresholds. This consensus, combined with low precipitation chances and light winds, underpins the leading implied probabilities at 28°C (43.5%) and 27°C (28.5%), with modest tail risk priced for 29–30°C if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final 24 hours before resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions