Heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover expected over Guangzhou on June 17, driven by the East Asian monsoon and a strengthening low-pressure trough, represent the main factors moderating peak temperatures and shaping trader probabilities clustered around 29–31 °C. Numerical weather models show modest consensus on daytime maxima near 30 °C under persistent showers that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, while any delays in precipitation could allow brief breaks of insolation to push readings toward 32 °C. This uncertainty in timing and intensity, set against June’s climatological average high of approximately 31 °C, explains the relatively flat probability distribution across the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and official guidance from the Guangzhou Central Meteorological Observatory over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 17?
30°C 28%
31°C 22%
29°C 19%
28°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-06-17
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
9%
28°C
16%
29°C
19%
30°C
28%
31°C
22%
32°C
11%
33°C or higher
5%
30°C 28%
31°C 22%
29°C 19%
28°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-06-17
23°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
24°C
$0 交易量
1%
25°C
$0 交易量
1%
26°C
$11 交易量
5%
27°C
$0 交易量
9%
28°C
$0 交易量
16%
29°C
$0 交易量
19%
30°C
$1 交易量
28%
31°C
$0 交易量
22%
32°C
$33 交易量
11%
33°C or higher
$94 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover expected over Guangzhou on June 17, driven by the East Asian monsoon and a strengthening low-pressure trough, represent the main factors moderating peak temperatures and shaping trader probabilities clustered around 29–31 °C. Numerical weather models show modest consensus on daytime maxima near 30 °C under persistent showers that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, while any delays in precipitation could allow brief breaks of insolation to push readings toward 32 °C. This uncertainty in timing and intensity, set against June’s climatological average high of approximately 31 °C, explains the relatively flat probability distribution across the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and official guidance from the Guangzhou Central Meteorological Observatory over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
交易量
$122結束日期
2026-06-17市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover expected over Guangzhou on June 17, driven by the East Asian monsoon and a strengthening low-pressure trough, represent the main factors moderating peak temperatures and shaping trader probabilities clustered around 29–31 °C. Numerical weather models show modest consensus on daytime maxima near 30 °C under persistent showers that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, while any delays in precipitation could allow brief breaks of insolation to push readings toward 32 °C. This uncertainty in timing and intensity, set against June’s climatological average high of approximately 31 °C, explains the relatively flat probability distribution across the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and official guidance from the Guangzhou Central Meteorological Observatory over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$122結束日期
2026-06-17市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETHeavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover expected over Guangzhou on June 17, driven by the East Asian monsoon and a strengthening low-pressure trough, represent the main factors moderating peak temperatures and shaping trader probabilities clustered around 29–31 °C. Numerical weather models show modest consensus on daytime maxima near 30 °C under persistent showers that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, while any delays in precipitation could allow brief breaks of insolation to push readings toward 32 °C. This uncertainty in timing and intensity, set against June’s climatological average high of approximately 31 °C, explains the relatively flat probability distribution across the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and official guidance from the Guangzhou Central Meteorological Observatory over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions