Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on June 16 point to a classic early-summer regime of high humidity, light winds, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence, supporting afternoon highs in the 90–93 °F range. This aligns with the market’s leading 92–93 °F bracket at 49.5 % implied probability and the secondary 90–91 °F outcome at 32 %. Recent days have featured similar conditions with observed maxima near 90–91 °F, while June climatology places the normal high at 89 °F. Scattered thunderstorms may briefly limit peak heating, yet the absence of strong upper-level support or dry-air intrusions keeps the upside risk modest and caps the probability of 94 °F or higher at under 9 %. Updated model runs and the morning forecast discussion will provide the final data points before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月16日邁阿密的最高溫度?
92-93°F 50%
90-91°F 35%
88-89°F 8%
94-95°F 6.6%
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
35%
92-93°F
50%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 50%
90-91°F 35%
88-89°F 8%
94-95°F 6.6%
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
35%
92-93°F
50%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on June 16 point to a classic early-summer regime of high humidity, light winds, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence, supporting afternoon highs in the 90–93 °F range. This aligns with the market’s leading 92–93 °F bracket at 49.5 % implied probability and the secondary 90–91 °F outcome at 32 %. Recent days have featured similar conditions with observed maxima near 90–91 °F, while June climatology places the normal high at 89 °F. Scattered thunderstorms may briefly limit peak heating, yet the absence of strong upper-level support or dry-air intrusions keeps the upside risk modest and caps the probability of 94 °F or higher at under 9 %. Updated model runs and the morning forecast discussion will provide the final data points before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions