Current forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather place Miami's June 16 overnight low in the upper 70s°F amid typical early-summer humidity and scattered convection. High moisture content limits nocturnal radiative cooling while afternoon thunderstorm activity and light southerly flow further moderate temperatures, keeping most model guidance clustered between 77–81°F. These conditions explain why the 78–79°F, 80–81°F, and 76–77°F bands trade near parity: small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or timing of seabreeze convergence can easily move the minimum across the 2°F thresholds that separate the leading outcomes. Historical June normals near 76–78°F provide context, but persistent Gulf moisture this week has biased recent observations slightly higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月16日邁阿密的最低溫度?
78-79°F 38%
72-73°F 30%
76-77°F 20%
80-81°F 20%
69°F或以下
1%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或更高
1%
78-79°F 38%
72-73°F 30%
76-77°F 20%
80-81°F 20%
69°F或以下
1%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 14, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather place Miami's June 16 overnight low in the upper 70s°F amid typical early-summer humidity and scattered convection. High moisture content limits nocturnal radiative cooling while afternoon thunderstorm activity and light southerly flow further moderate temperatures, keeping most model guidance clustered between 77–81°F. These conditions explain why the 78–79°F, 80–81°F, and 76–77°F bands trade near parity: small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or timing of seabreeze convergence can easily move the minimum across the 2°F thresholds that separate the leading outcomes. Historical June normals near 76–78°F provide context, but persistent Gulf moisture this week has biased recent observations slightly higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions