Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance projects a daily maximum in the low 70s for Chicago on June 16, 2026, well below the 1991-2020 normal of 80-81°F. This cooler outlook stems from increased cloud cover, possible showers, and a moderating air mass suppressing peak heating, with multiple model runs converging on highs near 70-73°F. Trader consensus, reflected in the 35.5% implied probability for 72-73°F and 19% for 70-71°F, aligns closely with these forecasts, while warmer bins above 76°F carry lower odds due to limited heat advection potential. Updated model guidance and any overnight observations could refine resolution criteria tied to official Midway Airport readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於芝加哥6月16日的最高溫度?
72-73°F 36%
74-75°F 23%
70-71°F 19%
68-69°F 11%
63°F或以下
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
1%
華氏82度或更高
<1%
72-73°F 36%
74-75°F 23%
70-71°F 19%
68-69°F 11%
63°F或以下
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
1%
華氏82度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance projects a daily maximum in the low 70s for Chicago on June 16, 2026, well below the 1991-2020 normal of 80-81°F. This cooler outlook stems from increased cloud cover, possible showers, and a moderating air mass suppressing peak heating, with multiple model runs converging on highs near 70-73°F. Trader consensus, reflected in the 35.5% implied probability for 72-73°F and 19% for 70-71°F, aligns closely with these forecasts, while warmer bins above 76°F carry lower odds due to limited heat advection potential. Updated model guidance and any overnight observations could refine resolution criteria tied to official Midway Airport readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions