**Trader sentiment for Houston's June 16 highest temperature centers on an incoming frontal boundary and tropical moisture that are expected to limit daytime heating compared to typical June conditions.** Official National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 86°F with scattered thunderstorms, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on the 82–83°F bin (29.5% implied probability) and the 80–81°F range (18.5%). These outcomes reflect expectations of widespread cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rain, and a shift to easterly or northeasterly flow that suppresses the usual Gulf-driven warming. Supporting context includes the broader pattern of elevated Gulf moisture and a slow-moving front that began influencing southeast Texas over the weekend, keeping recent highs in the low-to-mid 90s before the cooling arrives. Historical June 16 normals at Houston Intercontinental Airport sit near 93°F, so the current setup represents a noticeable departure driven by increased storm activity rather than long-term climate trends. Lower-probability bins above 86°F (combined ~7.4%) would require clearer skies and stronger southerly flow to materialize, while sub-80°F outcomes hinge on heavier, sustained rainfall or a stronger-than-forecast front—scenarios models currently assign low likelihood. Upcoming National Weather Service and NOAA short-range updates through the morning of June 16 will be the key data releases that could shift the distribution, particularly any revisions to cloud and precipitation forecasts that directly control maximum temperature.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Houston on June 16?
Highest temperature in Houston on June 16?
82-83°F 29%
80-81°F 22%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
69°F或以下
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
4%
88°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 29%
80-81°F 22%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
69°F或以下
$5 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$5 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$5 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$5 交易量
4%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
4%
78-79°F
$42 交易量
12%
80-81°F
$5 交易量
22%
82-83°F
$2 交易量
29%
84-85°F
$176 交易量
15%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
4%
88°F or higher
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Houston's June 16 highest temperature centers on an incoming frontal boundary and tropical moisture that are expected to limit daytime heating compared to typical June conditions.** Official National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 86°F with scattered thunderstorms, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on the 82–83°F bin (29.5% implied probability) and the 80–81°F range (18.5%). These outcomes reflect expectations of widespread cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rain, and a shift to easterly or northeasterly flow that suppresses the usual Gulf-driven warming.
Supporting context includes the broader pattern of elevated Gulf moisture and a slow-moving front that began influencing southeast Texas over the weekend, keeping recent highs in the low-to-mid 90s before the cooling arrives. Historical June 16 normals at Houston Intercontinental Airport sit near 93°F, so the current setup represents a noticeable departure driven by increased storm activity rather than long-term climate trends. Lower-probability bins above 86°F (combined ~7.4%) would require clearer skies and stronger southerly flow to materialize, while sub-80°F outcomes hinge on heavier, sustained rainfall or a stronger-than-forecast front—scenarios models currently assign low likelihood.
Upcoming National Weather Service and NOAA short-range updates through the morning of June 16 will be the key data releases that could shift the distribution, particularly any revisions to cloud and precipitation forecasts that directly control maximum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$251結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Houston's June 16 highest temperature centers on an incoming frontal boundary and tropical moisture that are expected to limit daytime heating compared to typical June conditions.** Official National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 86°F with scattered thunderstorms, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on the 82–83°F bin (29.5% implied probability) and the 80–81°F range (18.5%). These outcomes reflect expectations of widespread cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rain, and a shift to easterly or northeasterly flow that suppresses the usual Gulf-driven warming.
Supporting context includes the broader pattern of elevated Gulf moisture and a slow-moving front that began influencing southeast Texas over the weekend, keeping recent highs in the low-to-mid 90s before the cooling arrives. Historical June 16 normals at Houston Intercontinental Airport sit near 93°F, so the current setup represents a noticeable departure driven by increased storm activity rather than long-term climate trends. Lower-probability bins above 86°F (combined ~7.4%) would require clearer skies and stronger southerly flow to materialize, while sub-80°F outcomes hinge on heavier, sustained rainfall or a stronger-than-forecast front—scenarios models currently assign low likelihood.
Upcoming National Weather Service and NOAA short-range updates through the morning of June 16 will be the key data releases that could shift the distribution, particularly any revisions to cloud and precipitation forecasts that directly control maximum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$251結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET**Trader sentiment for Houston's June 16 highest temperature centers on an incoming frontal boundary and tropical moisture that are expected to limit daytime heating compared to typical June conditions.** Official National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 86°F with scattered thunderstorms, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on the 82–83°F bin (29.5% implied probability) and the 80–81°F range (18.5%). These outcomes reflect expectations of widespread cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rain, and a shift to easterly or northeasterly flow that suppresses the usual Gulf-driven warming. Supporting context includes the broader pattern of elevated Gulf moisture and a slow-moving front that began influencing southeast Texas over the weekend, keeping recent highs in the low-to-mid 90s before the cooling arrives. Historical June 16 normals at Houston Intercontinental Airport sit near 93°F, so the current setup represents a noticeable departure driven by increased storm activity rather than long-term climate trends. Lower-probability bins above 86°F (combined ~7.4%) would require clearer skies and stronger southerly flow to materialize, while sub-80°F outcomes hinge on heavier, sustained rainfall or a stronger-than-forecast front—scenarios models currently assign low likelihood. Upcoming National Weather Service and NOAA short-range updates through the morning of June 16 will be the key data releases that could shift the distribution, particularly any revisions to cloud and precipitation forecasts that directly control maximum temperature.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions