Traders see the highest temperature in London on July 10 clustered around 29–30 °C because the latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble runs show a narrow spread centered there, with a modest cooling trend from the midweek peak as a gentle southwesterly breeze develops. High pressure continues to favor warm, sunny conditions and southerly advection of continental air, yet increasing boundary-layer moisture and possible scattered cloud could cap afternoon maxima below the 33 °C values some earlier guidance suggested. Historical July London averages of 23–24 °C underscore how anomalous the current spell remains, while resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour maximum recorded at official observing sites.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on July 10?
29°C 41%
28°C 30%
30°C 21%
31°C 4.5%
$75,264 Vol.
$75,264 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
30%
29°C
41%
30°C
21%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
28°C 30%
30°C 21%
31°C 4.5%
$75,264 Vol.
$75,264 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
30%
29°C
41%
30°C
21%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in London on July 10 clustered around 29–30 °C because the latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble runs show a narrow spread centered there, with a modest cooling trend from the midweek peak as a gentle southwesterly breeze develops. High pressure continues to favor warm, sunny conditions and southerly advection of continental air, yet increasing boundary-layer moisture and possible scattered cloud could cap afternoon maxima below the 33 °C values some earlier guidance suggested. Historical July London averages of 23–24 °C underscore how anomalous the current spell remains, while resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour maximum recorded at official observing sites.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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