**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 10 maximum temperature remains closely divided among 27–30°C outcomes because short-range numerical weather models show modest spread amid ongoing East Asian monsoon (Jangma) conditions.** Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms—already evident in early July patterns—can suppress peak heating by limiting insolation or enhance it during brief clear intervals, with the precise timing and intensity of rain bands determining whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of the 26–31°C envelope. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensemble forecasts highlight typical July variability around 28–30°C baselines, while Seoul’s urban heat island adds a small upward bias. The balanced probabilities mirror genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, with model updates and any revised precipitation timing expected to drive further market adjustments before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on July 10?
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 10?
28°C 63%
29°C 32%
30°C 2.1%
31°C or higher 1.1%
NEW
$85,016 Vol.
NEW
$85,016 Vol.
Jul 10, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
63%
29°C
32%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
28°C 63%
29°C 32%
30°C 2.1%
31°C or higher 1.1%
NEW
$85,016 Vol.
NEW
$85,016 Vol.
Jul 10, 2026
21°C or below
$2,291 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,132 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,194 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,051 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$6,185 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$16,208 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$17,890 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$9,890 Vol.
63%
29°C
$8,156 Vol.
32%
30°C
$7,861 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$7,761 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 10 maximum temperature remains closely divided among 27–30°C outcomes because short-range numerical weather models show modest spread amid ongoing East Asian monsoon (Jangma) conditions.** Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms—already evident in early July patterns—can suppress peak heating by limiting insolation or enhance it during brief clear intervals, with the precise timing and intensity of rain bands determining whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of the 26–31°C envelope. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensemble forecasts highlight typical July variability around 28–30°C baselines, while Seoul’s urban heat island adds a small upward bias. The balanced probabilities mirror genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, with model updates and any revised precipitation timing expected to drive further market adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$85,016End Date
Jul 10, 2026Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 10 maximum temperature remains closely divided among 27–30°C outcomes because short-range numerical weather models show modest spread amid ongoing East Asian monsoon (Jangma) conditions.** Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms—already evident in early July patterns—can suppress peak heating by limiting insolation or enhance it during brief clear intervals, with the precise timing and intensity of rain bands determining whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of the 26–31°C envelope. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensemble forecasts highlight typical July variability around 28–30°C baselines, while Seoul’s urban heat island adds a small upward bias. The balanced probabilities mirror genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, with model updates and any revised precipitation timing expected to drive further market adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$85,016End Date
Jul 10, 2026Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 10 maximum temperature remains closely divided among 27–30°C outcomes because short-range numerical weather models show modest spread amid ongoing East Asian monsoon (Jangma) conditions.** Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms—already evident in early July patterns—can suppress peak heating by limiting insolation or enhance it during brief clear intervals, with the precise timing and intensity of rain bands determining whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of the 26–31°C envelope. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensemble forecasts highlight typical July variability around 28–30°C baselines, while Seoul’s urban heat island adds a small upward bias. The balanced probabilities mirror genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, with model updates and any revised precipitation timing expected to drive further market adjustments before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions