Marine layer strength and onshore flow remain the dominant drivers for Los Angeles maximum temperatures on July 11, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a moderate inversion that typically caps coastal and downtown readings in the mid-70s. Recent model consensus favors highs near 75–77°F at key reporting stations, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 74–75°F (30.5%) and 76–77°F (32.5%) brackets. Subtle variations in low-level moisture, wind direction, and marine layer depth introduce the primary uncertainty, as a slightly stronger or more persistent layer could suppress readings by 1–2°F while a modest weakening would allow marginal warming. Historical early-July climatology for the region shows similar marine-influenced conditions producing daily maxima clustered around 74–78°F absent strong offshore flow or ridging. Updated NWS morning forecasts and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution inputs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on July 11?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 11?
74-75°F 41%
76-77°F 39%
78-79°F 11.0%
72-73°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Jul 11, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
41%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 41%
76-77°F 39%
78-79°F 11.0%
72-73°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Jul 11, 2026
69°F or below
$130 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$147 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$1,786 Vol.
5%
74-75°F
$748 Vol.
41%
76-77°F
$756 Vol.
39%
78-79°F
$96 Vol.
11%
80-81°F
$67 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$68 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$180 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$388 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$302 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer strength and onshore flow remain the dominant drivers for Los Angeles maximum temperatures on July 11, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a moderate inversion that typically caps coastal and downtown readings in the mid-70s. Recent model consensus favors highs near 75–77°F at key reporting stations, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 74–75°F (30.5%) and 76–77°F (32.5%) brackets. Subtle variations in low-level moisture, wind direction, and marine layer depth introduce the primary uncertainty, as a slightly stronger or more persistent layer could suppress readings by 1–2°F while a modest weakening would allow marginal warming. Historical early-July climatology for the region shows similar marine-influenced conditions producing daily maxima clustered around 74–78°F absent strong offshore flow or ridging. Updated NWS morning forecasts and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$4,667End Date
Jul 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer strength and onshore flow remain the dominant drivers for Los Angeles maximum temperatures on July 11, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a moderate inversion that typically caps coastal and downtown readings in the mid-70s. Recent model consensus favors highs near 75–77°F at key reporting stations, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 74–75°F (30.5%) and 76–77°F (32.5%) brackets. Subtle variations in low-level moisture, wind direction, and marine layer depth introduce the primary uncertainty, as a slightly stronger or more persistent layer could suppress readings by 1–2°F while a modest weakening would allow marginal warming. Historical early-July climatology for the region shows similar marine-influenced conditions producing daily maxima clustered around 74–78°F absent strong offshore flow or ridging. Updated NWS morning forecasts and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,667End Date
Jul 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer strength and onshore flow remain the dominant drivers for Los Angeles maximum temperatures on July 11, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a moderate inversion that typically caps coastal and downtown readings in the mid-70s. Recent model consensus favors highs near 75–77°F at key reporting stations, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 74–75°F (30.5%) and 76–77°F (32.5%) brackets. Subtle variations in low-level moisture, wind direction, and marine layer depth introduce the primary uncertainty, as a slightly stronger or more persistent layer could suppress readings by 1–2°F while a modest weakening would allow marginal warming. Historical early-July climatology for the region shows similar marine-influenced conditions producing daily maxima clustered around 74–78°F absent strong offshore flow or ridging. Updated NWS morning forecasts and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution inputs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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