Recent forecast models from agencies including Mexico's meteorological service indicate a high of 21–23°C for Mexico City on October 11, with persistent cloud cover, light rain, and southeasterly winds limiting daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with October climatology, where average highs near 23°C are common, though afternoon convection and high humidity have kept temperatures from exceeding early-week values. Trader consensus on 23°C (62.5% implied probability) reflects model agreement on these conditions, while lower odds for 24–25°C capture residual uncertainty in peak timing before evening showers. Official station readings at day's end will resolve the market.