Short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service models currently converge on a maximum of 34–35°C in Munich on June 28 under building high pressure, with partly cloudy skies and possible afternoon thundery showers. This pattern supports the market’s tight clustering around 35–36°C outcomes, as modest ensemble spread arises mainly from uncertainty in convective timing and intensity that could cap peaks through evaporative cooling or allow brief clear intervals to push readings higher. Recent days of above-average warmth across southern Germany have reinforced the setup, while historical June maxima near 30°C provide context for the elevated but not extreme signal. Updated model runs and DWD briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on June 28?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 28?
35°C 99.8%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$121,262 Vol.
$121,262 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
35°C 99.8%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$121,262 Vol.
$121,262 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
33°C or below
$26,614 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$9,838 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$15,191 Vol.
100%
36°C
$16,141 Vol.
1%
37°C
$13,984 Vol.
1%
38°C
$13,745 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$12,388 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$6,682 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$2,668 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$2,530 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$1,629 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service models currently converge on a maximum of 34–35°C in Munich on June 28 under building high pressure, with partly cloudy skies and possible afternoon thundery showers. This pattern supports the market’s tight clustering around 35–36°C outcomes, as modest ensemble spread arises mainly from uncertainty in convective timing and intensity that could cap peaks through evaporative cooling or allow brief clear intervals to push readings higher. Recent days of above-average warmth across southern Germany have reinforced the setup, while historical June maxima near 30°C provide context for the elevated but not extreme signal. Updated model runs and DWD briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$121,262End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service models currently converge on a maximum of 34–35°C in Munich on June 28 under building high pressure, with partly cloudy skies and possible afternoon thundery showers. This pattern supports the market’s tight clustering around 35–36°C outcomes, as modest ensemble spread arises mainly from uncertainty in convective timing and intensity that could cap peaks through evaporative cooling or allow brief clear intervals to push readings higher. Recent days of above-average warmth across southern Germany have reinforced the setup, while historical June maxima near 30°C provide context for the elevated but not extreme signal. Updated model runs and DWD briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$121,262End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service models currently converge on a maximum of 34–35°C in Munich on June 28 under building high pressure, with partly cloudy skies and possible afternoon thundery showers. This pattern supports the market’s tight clustering around 35–36°C outcomes, as modest ensemble spread arises mainly from uncertainty in convective timing and intensity that could cap peaks through evaporative cooling or allow brief clear intervals to push readings higher. Recent days of above-average warmth across southern Germany have reinforced the setup, while historical June maxima near 30°C provide context for the elevated but not extreme signal. Updated model runs and DWD briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions