Current forecast models for Tel Aviv on July 31, 2026, center on a maximum temperature of 32–34°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions, and moderating sea breezes from the eastern Mediterranean that limit extreme heat. Ensemble guidance from sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate.com, and BBC Weather shows highs near 32–33°C (roughly 90–91°F) under mostly sunny skies, aligning with the city’s July climatological average but with modest upside potential from warmer model runs. This consensus underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 34°C (61.5% implied probability), followed by 33°C (21%) and 35°C (16%), while lower or higher extremes remain discounted absent any developing heat wave or significant model shift. Updated runs closer to the date will refine the exact peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 31?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 31?
34°C 64%
35°C 18%
33°C 17%
36°C 2%
NEW
$21,167 Vol.
NEW
$21,167 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
17%
34°C
64%
35°C
18%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 64%
35°C 18%
33°C 17%
36°C 2%
NEW
$21,167 Vol.
NEW
$21,167 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
29°C or below
$3,021 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,857 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,663 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$758 Vol.
2%
33°C
$4,498 Vol.
17%
34°C
$2,885 Vol.
64%
35°C
$2,142 Vol.
18%
36°C
$717 Vol.
2%
37°C
$149 Vol.
1%
38°C
$437 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$3,040 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Tel Aviv on July 31, 2026, center on a maximum temperature of 32–34°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions, and moderating sea breezes from the eastern Mediterranean that limit extreme heat. Ensemble guidance from sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate.com, and BBC Weather shows highs near 32–33°C (roughly 90–91°F) under mostly sunny skies, aligning with the city’s July climatological average but with modest upside potential from warmer model runs. This consensus underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 34°C (61.5% implied probability), followed by 33°C (21%) and 35°C (16%), while lower or higher extremes remain discounted absent any developing heat wave or significant model shift. Updated runs closer to the date will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$21,167End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Tel Aviv on July 31, 2026, center on a maximum temperature of 32–34°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions, and moderating sea breezes from the eastern Mediterranean that limit extreme heat. Ensemble guidance from sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate.com, and BBC Weather shows highs near 32–33°C (roughly 90–91°F) under mostly sunny skies, aligning with the city’s July climatological average but with modest upside potential from warmer model runs. This consensus underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 34°C (61.5% implied probability), followed by 33°C (21%) and 35°C (16%), while lower or higher extremes remain discounted absent any developing heat wave or significant model shift. Updated runs closer to the date will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,167End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Tel Aviv on July 31, 2026, center on a maximum temperature of 32–34°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions, and moderating sea breezes from the eastern Mediterranean that limit extreme heat. Ensemble guidance from sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate.com, and BBC Weather shows highs near 32–33°C (roughly 90–91°F) under mostly sunny skies, aligning with the city’s July climatological average but with modest upside potential from warmer model runs. This consensus underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 34°C (61.5% implied probability), followed by 33°C (21%) and 35°C (16%), while lower or higher extremes remain discounted absent any developing heat wave or significant model shift. Updated runs closer to the date will refine the exact peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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