Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 18 project a daily maximum near 25°C—slightly below the 26.3°C climatological normal—driven by lingering Baiu front influences, increased cloud cover, and moderate onshore flow that limits daytime heating. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value, with sea-breeze effects and urban heat-island modulation creating the narrow range traders are pricing; the tight clustering between 25°C and 26°C outcomes (combined ~60% implied probability) reflects genuine forecast uncertainty rather than consensus on a single threshold. Recent model runs and satellite observations of moisture and pressure patterns reinforce this outlook, with minimal risk of significant deviation absent an unexpected ridge strengthening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 18?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 18?
26°C 35%
25°C 28%
24°C 17%
27°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
17%
25°C
28%
26°C
35%
27°C
14%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 35%
25°C 28%
24°C 17%
27°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
21°C or below
$257 交易量
<1%
22°C
$384 交易量
<1%
23°C
$883 交易量
4%
24°C
$796 交易量
17%
25°C
$821 交易量
28%
26°C
$356 交易量
35%
27°C
$1,226 交易量
14%
28°C
$788 交易量
4%
29°C
$1,045 交易量
2%
30°C
$239 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$521 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 18 project a daily maximum near 25°C—slightly below the 26.3°C climatological normal—driven by lingering Baiu front influences, increased cloud cover, and moderate onshore flow that limits daytime heating. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value, with sea-breeze effects and urban heat-island modulation creating the narrow range traders are pricing; the tight clustering between 25°C and 26°C outcomes (combined ~60% implied probability) reflects genuine forecast uncertainty rather than consensus on a single threshold. Recent model runs and satellite observations of moisture and pressure patterns reinforce this outlook, with minimal risk of significant deviation absent an unexpected ridge strengthening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$7,318結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 18 project a daily maximum near 25°C—slightly below the 26.3°C climatological normal—driven by lingering Baiu front influences, increased cloud cover, and moderate onshore flow that limits daytime heating. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value, with sea-breeze effects and urban heat-island modulation creating the narrow range traders are pricing; the tight clustering between 25°C and 26°C outcomes (combined ~60% implied probability) reflects genuine forecast uncertainty rather than consensus on a single threshold. Recent model runs and satellite observations of moisture and pressure patterns reinforce this outlook, with minimal risk of significant deviation absent an unexpected ridge strengthening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,318結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETOfficial Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 18 project a daily maximum near 25°C—slightly below the 26.3°C climatological normal—driven by lingering Baiu front influences, increased cloud cover, and moderate onshore flow that limits daytime heating. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value, with sea-breeze effects and urban heat-island modulation creating the narrow range traders are pricing; the tight clustering between 25°C and 26°C outcomes (combined ~60% implied probability) reflects genuine forecast uncertainty rather than consensus on a single threshold. Recent model runs and satellite observations of moisture and pressure patterns reinforce this outlook, with minimal risk of significant deviation absent an unexpected ridge strengthening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions